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MOSCOW
Key Russian decision makers in finance
and economics were joined by high-level
business, political, cultural and academic
minds from around the world today to discuss
the positive state of Russia's investment
climate and the challenges that lie ahead..
An
advisor to Russian Federation President Vladmir
Putin compared the Russian economy to those
of Argentina and Mexico at the first economic
workshop at the World Economic Forum's Russia
Meeting 2001.
"The time is particularly appropriate
for the Russia Meeting," said Klaus Schwab,
President of the World Economic Forum. "The
events of the 11th of September have changed
the significance of the world and the mindset
of people looking at Russia."
While participants will be assessing the growth
of Russia's economy over the next day and a
half, questions will also be raised as to the
sustainablilty of the growth, said Schwab.
"The purpose of this meeting is two fold," he
said. "Many things in Russia have changed,
yet we have to see how they are to going to
move forward."
There was consensus
among participants attending an afternoon
economic workshop, a preview of
The World Economic Forum's The European Competitiveness
and Transition Report 2001 2002, that Russia
is changing for the better. Keynote speaker
and personal advisor to President Putin, Andrei
Illarionov, highlighted the new macroeconomic
picture of Russia. "There is positive
news coming from Russia," said Illarionov. "Inflation
is high by economic standards, the exchange
rate is stable, and foreign exchange reserves
will be up to $40 billion by this year's end."
In his brief
10 minute address, Illarionov elaborated
on the reforms responsible for the
fundamental changes that have occurred in Russia
during the past 10 years. "We are in the
process of reforming all spheres of life," he
said. " Private business is different,
the authorities are different, the bureaucracy
is different. We have joined the ranks of Argentina
and Mexico as one of the world's leading emerging
markets and we are entering the next phase,
a mature market economy."
The afternoon workshop included a panel of
economists from government,academia and the
private sector, moderated by Thierry Malleret,
World Economic Forum director of Europe and
Central Asia. Malleret's questions challenged
panelists to think about the sustainability
following the upswing in Russian economy.
Participants
replied with indicators of long lasting growth
including Russia's current 13
percent flat rate of income tax, the recent
adoption of the Land Code in the Parliament,
which gives a greater degree of purchasing
power to individuals within Russia and from
abroad to buy land throughout Russia, and signs
of deregulation. "Domestic factors will
determine much," said Augusto Lopez Claros,
Executive Director of Lehman Brothers in the
United Kingdom. "New social reform and
political stability could attract Russian capital."
Among potential
factors that could have an adverse impact
on Russia's growth, panelists
cited its weak banking system, potential over-dependence
on natural resources, and vulnerability to
external shock. Panelists were particularly
concerned with Russia's abundance of oil and
gas. While Claro said Russia's oil and gas,
in particular, are a blessing and should be
used to fuel growth, others were in disagreement. "The
international evidence is there," said
Erik Berglof, director of the Stockholm Institute
of Transition Economics and East European Economics
at the Stockholm School of Economics. "Abundance
leads to civil strife and conflict."
The possibility
of Russia's acceptance into the World Trade
Organization (WTO) in the near
future was an overriding theme throughout the
workshop, with panelists suggesting methods
for gaining membership. "The key to speeding
up WTO access is judicial reform and creating
a system of checks and balances," said
Berglof.
Other members attending the panel, who wished
to remain anonymous, criticized process of
WTO admittance, and looked at the European
Union as a friendlier, more historical organization.
Following an afternoon of discussion participants,
who included over 340 men and women from 28
countries, attended a dinner with key Russian
personalities. Tuesday morning Russian Federation
President Vladimir Putin is expected to officially
open the event.
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