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The
award of the 2001 Nobel Peace Prize jointly
to the United Nations and Secretary General
Kofi Annan, coming a month after member
states twice closed ranks to condemn
international terrorism and approve the
first of an expected series of mandatory
actions to confront the enemy, brought
a welcome political focus to New York
as the US-led coalition struggled to
develop strategies for what is already
being dubbed the New War.
Apparently
setting aside the former posture of unilateralism
that placed his administration sharply at odds
with ancient allies on issues like missile
defense and the environment, and alienated
many other UN members, President George W.
Bush now says he looks toward the UN for help
to rebuild Afghanistan.
This can come, he believes, after American
and British air strikes -- and possible ground
action -- have reduced the country to rubble
and driven out or killed its grim Taliban fundamentalist
rulers. Their ouster is Washington's aim in
response to what the US and the UK believe
is the Taliban's clearly established complicity
in the destruction of the World Trade Center
and part of the Pentagon in the worst terrorist
outrage in history, on Sept. 11.
British Prime Minister Tony Blair, now serving
in effect as Bush's point man, has declared
the evidence conclusive that Osama bin Laden,
a reclusive Saudi billionaire alleged to be
receiving sanctuary and support in Afghanistan
-- although some experts say he may already
have moved to safer quarters -- was the mastermind
behind the attacks, which took more than 5,000
lives, caused billions of dollars' property
losses and reduced the world economy to shambles.
James D. Wolfensohn, president of the World
Bank, has said that poor developing countries
will suffer disproportionately in a global
recession now considered virtually inevitable.
As John Ashcroft, the US attorney general,
cautioned people in the US to expect new terrorist
attacks, Vice President Dick Cheney said bluntly
he suspected that scattered outbreaks of anthrax
-- hitherto rarely recorded in the US -- had
a terrorist connection. There were reports
that a mysterious white powder, possibly containing
anthrax baccili, had been mailed from an address
in Florida. The UN is said to have been on
the mailing list, which included NBC.
Director General Gro Harlem Brundtland and
epidemiologists at the World Health Organization
are watching the situation closely, in cooperation
with the US Center for Disease Control. Meanwhile,
New York Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani sought to
downplay fears of spreading anthrax infections
-- the disease is said not to be contagious
-- after an NBC staffer at Rockefeller Center
was diagnosed a sufferer. He said she was recovering
following a course of antibiotics.
The possibility that terrorist plotters might
acquire a nuclear device or employ chemical
weapons in further outrages raised new alarms.
As sanitation department trucks and Nassau
County Police cruisers -- brought to Manhattan
to help out the city's severely stretched law
enforcement system -- closed the UN perimeter
to all general traffic, senior officials worked
to calm nervous staff. The UN is conscious
that the headquarters, along with the Empire
State Building and the Holland Tunnel, were
on the terrorists' list of targets when the
World Trade Center was car-bombed in 1993.
The diplomatically-immune UN buildings lack
a sprinkler system -- mandatory in other office
towers -- and could be especially vulnerable
to fire. Security officers and city police
and firefighters have conducted precautionary
evacuation drills.
As the US and
Britain continued to pummel suspected terrorist
enclaves and other targets
mapped by allied intelligence, President Bush
disclosed that he foresees a central role for
the UN in nation-building in Afghanistan after
the Taliban have been toppled. However, he
studiously avoided that term, preferring instead
the phrase "stabilization of a future
government." UN officials welcomed the
challenge.
Annan shared
the alarm felt by many in the UN after US
Ambassador John D. Negroponte delivered
Washington's warning that the war against international
terrorism might have to go beyond Afghanistan
to "further actions with respect to other
organizations and other states." Iraq
came quickly to mind. Could the Bush administration
now resist the temptation to take out Saddam
Hussein, once and for all?
Aides said
the Secretary General believes that extending
the conflict to Iraq -- said
to be advocated by administration hawks but
to be opposed by Secretary of State Colin Powell
-- would be "a disaster" and should
be resisted at all costs. Annan talks often
to Powell and will certainly have relayed his
strong objections to adding Iraq to the allies'
targets.
In the event, it transpires that the US may
have more distant places in mind, specifically
Al Qaeda operatives' suspected terrorist cells
in Indonesia, Malaysia and the Phillipines.
Manila is said to be a dangerous hub.
Prime Minister Blair is Annan's backer in
opposing a military attack on Iraq, beyond
the frequent aerial sorties that the US and
the UK have long conducted. Blair issued assurances
that the two allies would not expand the Afghanistan
conflict without first consulting other members
of the anti-terrorist coalition. The Security
Council in response to Sept. 11 has already
expressly recognized the right of self-defense
and use of force, if necessary.
For his part, Annan would have liked to see
a UN umbrella placed over anti-terrorist military
operations but appears to be satisfied, for
the time being, with Council decisions that
have provided what is in effect its seal of
approval for Washington's and London's robust
military measures.
The Secretary General also is among those
who have little or no doubt about bin Laden's
role in last month's tragic events. He interprets
the renegade Saudi's videotaped statement broadcast
by the satellite TV station al-Jazeera as an
implicit acknowledgement of responsibility
for the murderous attacks. The six foot five
inch, 160lb. terrorist leader, who is reputed
to pray five times a day, declared his belief
that Allah approved the death and destruction
at the Twin Towers and the Pentagon, the world's
biggest office building.
This tragedy was not mentioned specifically
in the citation by the Norwegian Nobel Committee
which named the UN and Annan to share this
year's Peace Prize, the 100th since the award
was initiated in the will of Alfred Nobel,
a citizen of Sweden and the inventor of dynamite.
The committee had searched all summer for honorees
appropriate for this centennial Prize and finally
chose from among 136 contenders, including
Pope John Paul II and the International Committee
of the Red Cross. The decision was made on
Sept. 28, just 17 days after the terrorist
attacks. Although the committee kept its counsel
until Oct. 12 when the announcement was made,
Annan was known to be a nominee and newspapers
in Europe quickly declared him the favorite.
They were not wrong.
The Secretary
General, who will collect the Prize (worth
$943,000, which he and the UN
will share) in Stockholm on Dec. 10, Nobel's
birthday -- which happens also to be Human
Rights Day -- called it "a great encouragement
for me personally and for the Organization
and the way the world has reaffirmed the indispensable
role this Organization should play in international
affairs."
He said also
that it was a "shot in the
arm that is really deserved and needed." Rising
to the occasion, Richard Ryan, Ireland's UN
delegate who heads the Security Council this
month, summoned a special meeting to record
that body's pleasure at the honor, which Annan
promptly proclaimed was shared also by the
Council, the primary international organ for
the maintenance of peace and security.
For years during
the cold war, the Council was hamstrung by
East-West divisions and often
paralyzed by Soviet or Western vetoes. The
Nobel committee noted how this has changed,
stating in its citation that today it is possible "for
the United Nations to perform more fully the
part it was originally intended to play."
Lavish in praise
of the 63-year-old Secretary General, an
American-educated native of Ghana
who has spent most of his adult life in UN
service, the committee said he had been "preeminent
in bringing new life to the Organization" while
emphasizing its obligations in the area of
human rights and rising to "such new challenges
as HIV/AIDS and international terrorism."
Annan has led the global campaign against
AIDS, which has claimed millions of lives,
continues to add new sufferers and rages with
especially fierce intensity in his own continent
of Africa. He instituted a $10 billion fund
to combat the pandemic, which will begin work
later this year with help from major donors,
including a first contribution of $200 million
from the US.
The Secretary
General is lauded in the Nobel citation also
for using the UN's "modest
resources" with greater efficiency. In
part, this is how he rose to lead the Organization
which had sunk into disarray under Boutros
Boutros-Ghali, who was dismissed in efect when
the US vetoed his candidature for a second
five-year term. Annan's term would expire at
the end of this year but has already been extended
another five years by unanimous decisions in
the Security Council and the General Assembly.
Thus, he will be in charge of the Organization
during the anti-terrorism war and its aftermath.
He is the second UN chief to have been honored
with the Nobel Peace Prize. The first, posthumously,
was Dag Hammarskjold of Sweden, who was killed
in an air accident 40 years ago on a peace
mission to the Congo. Ralph J. Bunche, an African-American
former State Department official who became
a UN under secretary, also received the Prize,
for his work as the Middle East peace mediator.
As the UN prepares
for possible new responsibilities both in
Afghanistan and in the fight against
terrorism, a new attempt is under way to agree
on a definition of terrorism -- necessary if
the Organization is ever to conclude an international
convention against it. Members have struggled
since 1972, when the issue was first placed
on the agenda, but were stymied by such differences
of opinion as whether, in certain cases, what
some may call a terrorist is, for others, a "freedom
fighter." That was an argument with special
resonance during the campaign by black South
Africans against their country's apartheid
regime. (Nelson Mandela was jailed 27 years
for "terrorist" activities.)
On the military side, Annan and his aides
are urging the US and the UK to be mindful
of their responsibilities as permanent members
of the Security Council. This does not confer
the status of global enforcers, but both Washington
and London were quick to notify the Council
of the military measures begun on Oct. 8, which
already had the UN's implicit blessing because
of the self-defense clause in Article 51 of
the Charter.
The US and the UK are expected to keep the
UN informed, but tying military action more
closely to the Council's say-so could create
problems for them. President Vladimir Putin
has been surprisingly cooperative so far and
the Chinese have made known their worries about
internal Islamic extremism, but great power
unity in the Security Council is seldom automatic.
A rising toll of Afghan collateral casualties,
inevitable in conflicts like this, may stir
more angry street protests, not only in countries
where there already is a perception that not
only terrorism but Islam itself is a target
but also by the West's sizable contingents
of what used to be called peaceniks. These
are the descendants of protesters who hated
the Nazis and Japanese imperialism yet would
rather not have had their countries take up
arms against those evils. Some of them, more
noisy than numerous, have been heard around
Manhattan's Times Square in the current crisis.
Their numbers may mount. Those who made anti-globalization
their cause may have found an even more compelling
target.
Worried about
the Muslim masses -- Islam claims one billion
adherents, one-sixth of world population
-- Annan sent a message to foreign ministers
from states members of the umbrella Organization
of the Islamic Conference to be sure to stress
and make more widely heard and accepted that
the Muslim religion is "inherently peaceful
and tolerant." Bush, who visited a Washington
mosque, and Blair both have made the same point
in a bid to reduce suspicions about and hostility
toward Muslims.
"For the United Nations, it is essential
that the global response to terrorism be truly
universal and not divisive," Annan said
in his message, delivered by Ibrahim Gambari,
a former UN ambassador of Nigeria. Also, said
the Secretary General, the people of Afghanistan
are not to blame for the Taliban's actions
and now are in desperate need of aid. "It
is also vital that the international community
now work harder than ever to encourage a political
settlement to the conflict in Afghanistan," that
has been going on for more than two decades,
Annan said.
There is more than enough economic fodder
from Sept. 11 to keep the anti-globalization
crowd busy as they trim their sights and aim
at new objectives. A UN report issued just
four weeks after the New York and Washington
attacks concludes that these will have far-reaching
effects and slow further a global economy that
was already growing at its lowest rate in a
decade.
"The shock is expected to reverberate
through the world economy and global financial
markets in the coming months," UN experts
say. Military and political reactions to the
terrorist assaults will "greatly amplify" existing
uncertainties about the short-term outlook
and are likely also to have significant long-term
implications.
The report
does not use the R-word, recession -- a state
which some analysts say the US has
already entered -- but it does anticipate a
worse than previously expected downturn for
America, with "an absolute decline in
gross domestic product in the third and fourth
quarters." (The fourth quarter now is
here, of course.) The most severely affected
developing countries economies are expected
to be those of South and East Asia, where GDP
projections for this year have dropped from
4.1 percent to 1.7 percent.
Canada is expected to feel the greatest impact
from its southern neighbor's decline, but Japan's
performance will be the weakest of all the
developed countries, says the UN report.
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