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WASHINGTON
-- On the heels of their discussions with
a delegation of Pakistani officials, the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the
World Bank announced new lending initiatives
Tuesday aimed at repairing Pakistan's stagnant
economy, stimulating growth, and reducing
poverty. The IMF announced a new Poverty
Reduction Growth Facility (PRGF) and the
World Bank approved $300 million in credit
for Pakistan as part its project to restructure
and privatize the Pakistani banking system.
The
three-year PRGF arrangement announced by the
IMF will be financed through a variety of bilateral
and multilateral arrangements, many of which
are still under discussion. Though the program
has not been officially approved, Pakistani
officials in Washington are optimistic about
the outcome. "Essentially the talks were
successful," a spokesman at the Pakistani
embassy said. "Technically the agreement
is reached, but the board [of the IMF] has
to approve it."
The IMF's PRGF
loans, formerly referred to as "structural adjustment" loans,
are awarded after the Fund reviews a paper
submitted by the country seeking the aid, which
outlines the government's comprehensive strategy
for reducing poverty. The PRGF loans carry
an interest rate of 0.5 percent and are re
payable over a ten-year period.
The World Bank's $300 million grant follows
a loan of $250 million in 1997, also aimed
at reforming the banking sector. The goal of
the World Bank's project is to encourage high
quality loans and to make nationalized commercial
banks more efficient and profitable.
"All Pakistan's citizens deserve to have
access to secure banking and credit," said
Joe Pernia, a South Asia specialist at the
Bank. "Achievement of the country's vision
for a healthy and efficient banking system
will give them that while eliminating abuses
in the system," he said.
The initiative is part of the World Bank's
broader national reform program in Pakistan,
to which it has contributed $374 million. The
Bank said it plans to augment its overall lending
program with Pakistan in the next fiscal year.
The Pakistani delegation, which arrived in
Washington on October 8th and stayed for more
than two weeks, included the Finance Minister,
Shaukat Aziz and the head of Pakistan's central
bank. Mr. Aziz participated in the initial
meetings but later left Washington to participate
in US Secretary of State Colin Powell's visit
to Pakistan. The Pakistani officials met with
a variety of US agencies, including the Treasury
Department, the State Department, the United
States Agency for International Development
(USAID) and the US Export-Import Bank, to discuss
potential aid programs aimed at providing relief
for Pakistan's ailing economy.
Officials at
the Pakistani embassy in Washington stressed
that the Pakistani government is not
trying to leverage its crucial role in the
war on terrorism to amass large sums of international
aid. "This was not a shopping trip or
a demand-list presentation," the embassy
spokesman said. "A lot of people thought
Pakistan came here with a wish list, but that's
not true." In fact, the official noted,
Pakistan's financial team approached the discussions
with an open mind and did not come to the bargaining
table with specific aid proposals.
IMF officials
indicated that the new PRGF proposals --
and other bilateral aid proposals
Pakistan is currently negotiating -- are intended,
in part, to relieve the economic difficulties
Pakistan has suffered as a result of its role
as a front line ally in the American war on
terrorism. An IMF spokesman said the program
will "help Pakistan cope with the economic
and financial fall-out of the events in Afghanistan,
such as higher insurance costs for exports
and imports, as well as weaker world demand."
But the Pakistani
embassy spokesman downplayed the role of
September 11 and the ensuing costs
Pakistan has absorbed, saying they were not
the catalyst for the talks. He said these aid
discussions are not anything out of the ordinary
and that Pakistan has had similar meetings
with the IMF in the past few years. "Many
things happened because of September 11th that
would have resulted through the normal course
of time," he said. The official also pointed
out that prior to September 11 the IMF was
already planning to meet with Pakistani officials
to discuss new aid programs.
The IMF indicated
a key reason for its consideration of the
PRGF package was Pakistan's demonstrated
commitment to its own economic reform program,
which IMF officials say has shown promise.
The World Bank concurs that Pakistan is on
the right track with its current reform agenda
and says its confidence in Pakistan's efforts
are a primary reason for its new lending imitative. "Over
the past two years, Pakistan has been implementing
a national reform program demonstrating its
commitment to addressing long-standing problems
of poverty, education and health and.corruption
and other policy and institutional constraints
to business activity and growth," a Bank
spokesperson said. "We have been impressed
by the program."
Pakistan's economy, however, remains mired
in stagnant growth and rising poverty rates.
The World Bank says the country's annual GDP
growth, which averaged about 5 to 6 percent
through the 1980s, has plummeted to less than
3 percent, which the Bank says is insufficient
to reduce poverty among Pakistan's growing
population. Other problems include the country's
massive foreign debt, which stands at $37 billion
(100 percent of GDP), and widespread tax evasion
that results in insufficient government revenues.
The social problems resulting from the economy's
dismal state are equally grave. Pakistan ranks
160th in the world in per capita income for
its population of 140 million ($458 per year).
Widespread illiteracy (only 40 percent of the
population can read), high infant mortality
rates, and one of the world's highest population
growth rates compound the problems policymakers
face.
Final discussions are underway to work out
the details of the lending programs for Pakistan.
Officials at the US State Department say the
amount of America's specific contribution is
being worked out. Mr. Aziz, Pakistan's Finance
Minister, will be holding discussions in Paris
in the near future to finalize bilateral lending
agreements with other countries.
The announcements
by the IMF and the World Bank follow a series
of positive developments
for Pakistan in the last several weeks. The
US Congress lifted many of its economic sanctions
on Pakistan recently, paving the way for substantive
American aid, and the US has also eased import
restrictions to boost Pakistani exports. Previously,
the US also delivered $100 million in emergency
economic assistance to Pakistan and made a
$135 million credit payment to the IMF, the
last in Pakistan's current "stand-by" program.
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