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The Earth Times | Posted November 12, 2001

WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION, FOURTH MINISTERIAL MEETING
World trade: from Bretton Woods to Doha

> BY ROMAN ROLLNICK
Copyright © 2002 by The Earth Times. All rights reserved

DOHA, Qatar-In July 1944, just before the end of World War II, the United States called an international meeting at the small New Hampshire town of Bretton Woods to help establish a new world trading system. About 1, 000 delegates representing 44 countries were present.

Today, more than half a century and half a world away, Doha lies closer to the sand dunes and the silk road to China, the world's first great trading route plied for centuries by camel caravans.

And in an age when jet planes fly overhead in the clear desert skies, the world's trading system is no longer led by pipe and cigar-puffing statesmen of yore, but by two marathon runners who welcomed China to the fold at a meeting with hundreds more delegates representing 144 nations.

The 1, 000 delegates at Bretton Woods included the renowned Cambridge economist, John Maynard Keynes who led Britain's contingent. The Free French administration, then based in Algeria, sent the young Pierre Mendes France. The United States was represented by its treasury secretary, Harry D. White. Europe was virtually in ruins as were large tracts of Asia from China to the Philippines, and north Africa. Fighting still raged in many parts and a year later, the first atomic bomb would be dropped on Japan.

At the time, the world's currencies were pegged to the price of gold which then stood at US$35 an ounce. Washington wanted a new system whereby the value of currencies would be fixed against the value of the dollar, whatever their gold reserves. A country in financial difficulty would be able to devalue with the accord of the International Monetary Fund.

It gave the IMF tremendous political and economic clout. Keynes, instead recommended the establishment of an international currency, the "bancor." Countries in debt would receive loans in bancors if they remained on their best behavior. The novel idea was that countries deemed weak would be naturally assisted by wealthier countries and thus create a system of financial stability whereby wealthier nations would be taxed to assist countries in difficulty. Rogue nations would simply have to conform.

But his idea was not seriously discussed at Bretton Woods because Washington, in preparation for the post-war period wanted to push its advantage and promote a stable monetary and open exchange system.

White wanted also an end to the rigid fixed exchange system agreed in Genoa in 1922 because it had led to competitive devaluations that brought on the crisis of the 1930s when inflation in Germany fueled Hitler's rise to power. Thus Washington decided that gold should not be the only monetary reference point, and the dollar was born as an international currency. Four years later, in 1948, the first multilateral trading system, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), was signed into being by 23 nations. In 1995 GATT became the WTO, the fully fledged international organization of today .

It now has a membership of 144 nations, each at its own level of economic development and with its own set of priorities. Since the Seattle conference in November 1999, nine countries have joined the organization-Albania, Croatia, Georgia, Jordan, Lithuania, Modlova, Oman, and in Doha this weekend, China and Taiwan. The advent of these two giant trading powers brings another 1.3 billion people into the world's rules-based trading system.

The two marathon runners are the current US Trade Secretary Robert Zoellick, and the man he sometimes goes jogging with, Pascal Lamy, the Frenchman serving as the trade commissioner of the world's biggest trading bloc, the European Union.

If the five day conference in Doha is to be a success, it may be because of the good relationship between the French socialist and the American republican who represent the world's economic giants, according to officials who work with them.

Both firmly stated their commitment to winning a new Doha Round of trade negotiations as the only way to stop the current economic slowdown turning into a global recession.

Their friendship started over a decade ago during the long negotiations over German reunification, when Lamy was chief of staff to the European Commission president and Zoellick was on the US Secretary of State's staff. In 1991, the two received awards from Germany which they celebrated by jogging together. They ran together again in 1992 when the EU and the US were arguing over the last big trade agreement, the Uruguay Round.

For both, on Sunday, it was truly an historic moment when they shook hands with Shi Guangsheng, the Chinese foreign trade and economic cooperation minister, and welcomed him to the Bretton Woods club in the glare of television spotlights time for a sip of Chinese tea and a jog along the silk road in the sand dunes outside the Sheraton Hotel.

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