In its citation for Annan's and the UN's
awards, the Nobel Prize Committee expressly
mentioned the UN's subsequent elevated standing
in worldwide esteem and the crucial role
played by the new Secretary General in shepherding
this remarkable change.
Nearing the end of the final year of his
first five-year term, the UN today is being
entrusted with ever more daunting responsibilities
-- not least, in rebuilding shattered Afghanistan
after 23 years of civil war, conflict with
Russia and now the US-UK bombardment. It
is an extraordinary revival of confidence
in the Organization's perceived ability to
do duty as a sort of global political, diplomatic
and social work horse. A horse for all seasons?
Dag Hammarskjold, the second of the Secretary
Generals, famously declared that this was
the most impossible job in the world. The
phrase appears in a UN media exhibit designed
to inform visiting members of the public,
a million of whom make the trip annually.The
description remains as apt today as it was
40-odd years ago. But cool, calm Kofi Annan,
the seventh in a line that began with Norway's
Trygve Lie at the UN's creation, has managed
to make it seem a bit less impossible. He
and a talented group of aides who form his
cabinet-style administration, an Annan innovation.
By contrast, Boutros-Ghali was a loner, seldom
seeking or heeding advice.
With a second Annan term due to begin Jan.
1 -- with no challenger anywhere in sight,
he was a shoo-in for reappointment by acclamation
months ago -- the UN's future looks rosier
today than it has in years.
A debilitating financial shortfall that
kept the institution teetering on the edge
of bankruptcy has been overcome. Member states,
especially the US which was responsible for
a fourth of the budget, wouldn't pay their
assessed contributions. Now they're settling
up and Joseph Connor, the chief financial
officer, forecasts that the UN will end 2001
solidly in the black. This, after years of
sloshing in red ink with Connor having to
perform a daily miracle figuring how to meet
its obligations -- even borrowing to meet
the secretariat payroll.
The first beneficiaries of the newfound
munificence are those many countries that
contributed troops and equipment for UN peacekeeping
operations with the promise of reimbursement.
Until now, it was a pledge unfulfilled, although
the creditors include some of the poorest
states in the world. They weren't paid because
Connor was obliged to conduct regular raids
on a depleting peacekeepers account just
to keep the Organization afloat and defray
regular housekeeping bills.
While even Israel feels more comfortable
in a still-hostile UN now that Annan is in
command, the most important shift in attitude
is that by Washington. What a difference
a day makes!
The
tragedy of Sept. 11, when the US homeland
was criminally attacked for the first time,
caused the Bush administration to undertake
a rapid reappraisal of its former attachment
to unilateralism, disdain for multilateral
institutions like the UN and belief -- often
stated in arrogant terms -- in the doctrine
of America First. The terrorist attacks prompted
a profound change. Overnight, there was wisdom
in seeking allies and where better to find
them than in the ranks of the UN with its
188 other member states, many of which were
themselves potential targets for terrorism
although, in the Washington lexicon some
also were "rogue states." Like
Iraq and Libya.
The merits of multinational organizations
were recognized for what President Bush predicted
would be a long, hard battle against Osama
bin Laden and his cohorts.
It's an ill wind . . ., etc. As a result,
the UN is on a roll and the US takes credit
for the current upsurge of confidence.
As
fair an indication as any of the Organization's
spectacular return to favor is the White
House welcome mat that's already been run
out for Annan several times this year. Most
recently, last Wednesday when he and President
Bush met to discuss Afghanistan and the war
on terrorism that, from day one, the Secretary
General and the Organization emphatically
supported in statements and formal unambiguous
resolutions. Recognizing an enemy, bin Laden
went on Arabic television to decry the Organization
and declare Annan a "criminal."
In
Washington last week, the US President
greeted the Secretary General as "our
friend." Leaders of an estwhile hostile
Congress, including the crusty, conservative
Sen. Jesse Helms who for years helped to
block the payment of US dues and perpetrated
the nasty "bloated bureaucracy" libel,
fell over themselves to make nice to the
UN visitor.
Bush's about-face is little short of stunning.
A year ago, his victory in the tightest
presidential election in US history was perceived
in New York as very bad news indeed. Al Gore,
Bill Clinton's anointed heir, was UN-friendly;
Bush was not and hard, hard times were foreseen
for the UN and the entire course of multilateral
diplomacy.
Into spring and for much of the summer,
those fears seemed justified as the new administration
proceeded happily along its self-sufficient,
go-it-alone course, paying scant attention
to others' interests on a wide range of issues
and blocking accords for whjat ofen seemed
merely whimsical reasons. To a great extent,
the America First policy survives, but sincde
Sept. 11 it's been toned down and pursued
less aggressively than previously. A bit
less roughshod riding over others' positions.
Skepticism toward the UN -- never entirely
shared, by the way, by the new Secretary
of State Colin Powell, a long-time friend
of Annan's -- left the US mission in New
York headless for most of this year, after
the departure of Richard Holbrooke, Clinton's
ambassador. Bush had nominated John D. Negroponte
as the replacement, but was in no hurry to
obtain requisite Senate confirmation.
Sept. 11 changed that, too. Having a new
permanent representative in place, and fast,
became imperative.
Liberals' doubts arising from Negroponte's
record as a US diplomat in Latin America
and his alleged indifference there toward
egregious human rights violators were swept
away; the confirmation procedure whistled
through the Senate in short order. All was
forgiven; or nearly all. The new ambassador
and Annan have a cordial relationship, which
is essential for the success of any Secretary
General and for the institution. Boutros-Ghali
learned that too late; he was shafted by
Madeleine Albright when she was the UN ambassador.
James Cunningham, a career diploomat who
held the fort manfully during the long hiatus
after Holbrooke left, remains as the deputy
permanent representative.
Terrorism and the possibility (probability?)
of new attacks as long as bin Laden leads
the feared al Qaeda network now is an international
obsesssion, reflected in virtually all of
the debates during the current session of
the UN General Assembly, where Bush made
his debut last month during a daylong visit.
But Annan has repeatedly reminded members
not to ignore a host of other pressing issues
on the global agenda. At least one of these,
namely the growing divide between rich and
poor both within sovereign nations and internationally,
may have helped to motivate the fanatical
misfits and malcontents that were easy prey
for bin Laden's recruiters and al Qaeda cells
have trained for terrorist enterprises.
The UN has high hopes for next year's conference
on sustainable economic development, which
acquires a new edge now that a link, actual
and potential, between terrorism and poverty
has been more clearly identified.
HIV/AIDS hasn't gone away since Sept. 11.
It's gotten worse and, according to Peter
Piot, head of the global UNAIDS organization,
it will get worse still before it gets better.
Desmond Johns, a South African physician
who runs the UNAIDS office in New York, reports
that there now are 45 million people known
to have the infection and in parts of his
own country as well as in Botswana and Swaziland
as many as 30 percent of all pregnant women
harbor the virus -- a chilling thought: a
new generation of children destined to be
born infected.
Kofi Annan hoped to have a $10 billion-a-year
campaign to beat the disease up and running
by the end of this year. The US pledged $200
million, with more to come, and there have
been significant donations from other wealthy
nations include the European Union states
and Japan, but the economic recession that
began in March and was only exacerbated by
recent dire events makes AIDS fund-raising
that much more difficult.
Meanwhile, says Piot, HIV infections in
Eastern Europe now are rising faster than
anywhere else and include a fifteenfold increase
in Russia in only the past three years. Also,
he says, the reported numbers are largely
underestimates. Annan's own leadership in
the war on AIDS is one of the many reasons
he was named this year's Nobel laureate.
As is well known, nations rich and poor
spend an inordinate percentage of their incomes
not on health care and education but on weapons
of mass destruction. The UN General Assembly
just went through another annual ritual of
inconclusive disarmament debate, this time
amid newly heightened concern about the adequacy
of safeguards for nuclear weapons stocks.
It's assumed that the terrorist groups would
dearly love to get their hands on a nuclear
device. A recent statement by bin Laden,
in an interview with a Pakistani editor,
appears to confirm this.
Russia and the other nuclear powers, that
now include India and Pakistan, insist that
they maintain absolutely tight control over
their atomic arsenals. Pakistan especially,
whose proximity to Afghanistan adds an extra
dimension of risk for its nuclear stock.
But bin Laden indicated his confidence that
enough money could be found to find a seller
of nuclear material in Central Asia.
Disarmament is an area in which the Bush
administration has been less than helpful,
in the view of most members of the international
community. he White House appears determined
to defy the rest of the world by pressing
on with its program to create an antiballistic
missiles shield, while calling the antiballistic
weapons treaty an anachronism. Others say
the pact is a cornerstone of disarmament.
With
huge quantities of small arms causing widespread
alarm and continuing to be weapons
of choice in civil wars -- where they are
easily carried by child soldiers, among others.
But John Bolton, the US representative, recently
opposed effective UN curbs, in deference
to the conservative American doctrine of
a constitutional "right to bear arms."
Palestinian
kids throw rocks at Israeli troops and
settlers and suicidal Islamic "martyrs" bomb
schools and restaurants. The Israel Defense
Force responds with heavy weapons. Annan
calls on both sides to halt the violence
and work toward a peace settlement. This,
it seems, is beyond the UN's capacity. The
US and the European Union are trying, again,
but with little hope for success.
Perhaps this is beyond anyone's ability,
save the two sides. And they have shown no
inclination toward compromise.
Back in New York, the General Assembly's
ministerial-level debate had to be postponed,
for security reasons, from September until
November, amid fears that the 39-story UN
headquarters might be a prime target -- as
it was in 1993 when the World Trade Center
was attacked for the first time, by car-bomber
Muslim extremists.
Bush's opening day speech dwelled extensively
on terrorism crisis. There was, however,
a brief but important aside related to the
Middle East conflict: the first utterance
by an American leader of the hitherto forbidden
word Palestine. (He said the US looks forward
to separate states of Israel and Palestine.)
The President stayed for lunch, hosted by
Annan for all visiting heads of state and
delegation leaders, and conferred privately
with several of them, including the US's
new ally Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan. But
not with Yasser Arafat, who was infuriated
by the snub, so much so that Annan had to
send an emissary to calm him down. The White
House believes that the president of the
Palestinian Authority has not done enough
to curb his side's violent acts against Israel.
Since Nov. 10 and Bush's daylong UN visit,
the US has eagerly accepted a central role
for Annan and his advisers Lakhdar Brahimi
and Francesc Vendrell in the attempt to broker
an accord among Afghanistan's warring factions
that might at last bring that tortured land
to peace under a broadly based government.
The administration looks also to Ruud Lubbers,
the UN High Commissioner for Refugees, and
Catherine Bertini, head of the World Food
Program (a UN agency) to relieve the plight
of a population of refugees and internally
displaced persons that Annan estimates may
be as high as 7.5 million.
Talks on Afghanistan's future governance
got off to a fast start in Bonn, but Afghanistan
has a history of broken promises. How to
police a truce could be a task for a multinational
force sanctioned by the Security Council.
But not by blue-helmeted UN peacekeepers.
Shashi Tharoor, an adviser to Annan, says
that deploying a UN force could take a minimum
of three months, far too long to wait in
a tinderbox situation. National contingents
typically can be assembled and dispatched
to the field within a week or two. However,
the victorious Northern Alliance made clear
its strong preference for an all-Afghan force.
Although
TV screens and newspaper pages have carried
images of "starving" Afghan
refugees. These look plump and well-fed compared
to the scrawny, potbellied children of Sierra
Leone, Burundi and Rwanda. Still, there's
no doubt about the grave humanitarian crisis.
This was a principal reason for Annan's White
House visit with Lubbers, Bertini and Kenzo
Oshima, the UN coordinator for emergency
relief.
"The Secretary General has been so
great on this issue and he's assembled a
wonderful team," an admiring Bush said
in remarks afterward to White House reporters.
Notwithstanding this US-UN lovefest, it
should come as no surprise that the two sides
still have many differences. The General
Assembly just called, for the tenth year
in a row, for the lifting of the US embargo
against Cuba (only the US, Israel and the
Marshall Islands voted in favor of retaining
it); and there are numerous social issues
on which Washington and the UN do not see
eye to eye and are not likely to anytime
soon.
The Bush administration worries about UN
population control programs, fearing the
promotion of abortion (which the Organization
emphatically rejects) and just a few days
ago a promising attempt at a World Health
Organization-sponsored conference to curb
tobacco advertising was nipped by US objections
on the ground that it would violate free
speech protections guaranteed by the constitution.
Washington has been less solicitous about
protecting some other civil liberties, in
the cause of fighting terrorism, thus provoking
a storm of protests across the political
spectrum. But two-thirds of those polled
in a recent National Public Radio survey
said they had no objection.