Delegates at the second Nuclear
Test Ban Treaty Conference, which concluded this
morning at the United Nations, witnessed both a surge
and a decrease in support for the Comprehensive Test-Ban-Treaty
(CTBT).
In
the last three months 13 states have ratified the Treaty,
bringing the total number up to 87 states. This morning
Libya signed the treaty, only five years ago the country
spoke out strongly against it. Support for the treaty
has made considerable progress in the last decade,
yet it lacks the support it truly needs. The United
States didn't even send a representative to the conference
and waited until the first morning of the conference
to alert anyone.
"There is a serious problem when a country
as significant as the United States won't sign," said
Rebecca Johnson, Executive Director of the Acronym
Institute.
The CTBT prohibits all nuclear
weapons, test explosions and all other nuclear
explosions. The Treaty plays
a dual role in combating nuclear proliferation,
according to a report published by the Arms Control
Association in Washington, D.C. According to the
report, the CTBT "prevents existing nuclear
weapons states from developing new and more sophisticated
types of nuclear weapons, while very simultaneously
hampering acquisition by potential proliferant
states."
The Treaty was signed in the United States under
the Clinton administration, however failed to be
passed in the Senate. The Bush administration has
repeatedly told the world it will not ask the Senate
to even reconsider the ratification of the Treaty,
leaving many advocates for the CTBC quite frustrated.
"The multilateral approach is not shared
by the Bush administration which chooses a selective
multilateralism," said Daryl Kimball, Executive
Director of the Arms Control Association. Kimball
feels it is highly unlikely that the United States
will ratify the Treaty before 2004.
Kimball fears that the Bush administration's opposition
for the treaty will only grow stronger. There are
indications already pointing in that direction.
For example, the United States was the only state
to vote against a procedural vote to put the CTBT
on the calendar for the United Nations General
Assembly. This was seen by many delegates as an
unexpected move, according to Kimball.
Why is the United States so reluctant
to ratify the CTBT? Kimball believes that for
the US, which
prides itself on being the world's superpower,
signing the treaty puts it in a vulnerable position. "Bush
wants all of his military possibilities open to
deal with future threats," he said.
"In an effort to maintain a strong US arsenal,
US labs have achieved over an additional $5 billion
per year. That's $2 billion more than during the
Cold War Era," said Kimball. "Scientists
at US labs continue to test because uncertainties
have undermined the existing stockpile."
After the events of September 11,
a main focus in Washington D.C. has been how
to starve terrorists
of their assets. Ambassador Thomas Graham, Jr.
views non-proliferation as the key to achieving
this. "The central objective of the world
community has to be to strengthen the norm of non-proliferation," said
Graham. "This will keep weapons out of the
hands of terrorists."
While the Bush administration shows
no intention of ratifying the CTBT in the near
future, Kimball
believes that one cannot assume ratification will
never happen. "It's going to take a major
event, maybe someone else testing," said Kimball. "It's
also going to take persistent support on behalf
on Western allies."
The CTBT may be gaining support through conferences
such as the just one held at the United Nations,
yet its effectiveness is likely only to take hold
when the very radically opposed United States can
ensure its entry into force.
|