As much as the atmosphere, international
engagement was the big winner when 165 countries
agreed last month on the first-ever rules aimed at
stopping global warming.
Granted,
the initial ambition of the Kyoto Protocol for slashing
the carbon dioxide emissions suspected in global warming
has been downsized. For example, Russia and Japan sought
and gained substantial credit toward their emissions-cuts
targets for the ability of their forests to absorb
carbon dioxide. Yet for all that, the Marrakech implementation
talks on the climate treaty can only be understood
as a critical vindication for the Kyoto vision, both
as ecology and governance.
On the environmental front, the completion of
the treaty in Morocco represented an important
moment in industrial history, as Andrew Revkin
observed in The New York Times recently. After
a century of fossil fuel burning with little regard
for consequences, the Kyoto Protocol as prepared
for ratification in Morocco tenders the first global
mechanism for limiting the harm of greenhouse emissions,
with its target of rolling back industrial emissions
to 5 percent below their 1990 level by 2012. As
such the new document represents the strongest,
most far-reaching environmental treaty that's ever
been drafted. That is immensely gratifying.
Yet it is not the ecological side of the treaty
that is most heartening just now. What is even
more compelling in the troubled, post-September
11 climate is the extent to which Marrakech represents
a victory of a persevering, hard-won internationalism.
At a time of challenge world wide, Morocco reasserts
the potential of internationalist cooperation to
resolve fundamental problems. In this regard, the
agreement of more than 160 participating countries
to an intricate yet coherent system for measuring
emissions, cutting them and enforcing discipline
pulls off an important labor of repair for a world
system that has seemed embattled of late. Marrakech
strengthens the claim of negotiation in the wake
of the terrorist insurgency manifested on September
11. It also offsets with multilateral engagement
the unilateralist impulse of the Bush Administration
in the United States before September 11.
And
indeed, the perseverance of the key nations toward
concord
despite the American rejection of
Kyoto in March looks even more important since
it may ultimately permit the Americans' entrance
into the conclave. The U.S., of course, remains
the world's biggest emitter of greenhouse gases.
But with the U.S. on the sidelines, the European
Union led the way toward a solid, balanced regime
through a process that actually seems to have managed
to improve relations with the recalcitrant Americans.
Paula Dobriansky, the under secretary of state
for global affairs, pronounced the U.S. committed
to solving the greenhouse problem. Meanwhile, it
could be that completion of the "rule book" for
Kyoto may make it easier for the Bush Administration
to reconsider its irresponsible withdrawal from
the negotiations. Perhaps in this regard seeing
precisely what participation would involve will
move Bush to join up at a time he has been promoting
world unanimity against terrorism. That an American
idea in gas emissions cuts help.
In this way, the results at Marrakech are auspicious
as much for the process by which they came together
as for any slowing of global warming they may achieve.
They show that the world and its atmosphere can
be repaired through patient engagement, and that
multilaterism still works. It is a satisfying result.
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