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The Earth Times | Posted February 14, 2002



TECHNOLOGY 
Hubris, the driving force of technology
> BY WARREN SULLIVAN
Copyright © 2002 by The Earth Times. All rights reserved

There is a hard word that describes a common frailty among the engineers and managers designing software and electronic devices. No, it's not "bright" or "dedicated." They are that. The word is "hubris." Merriam Webster's dictionary defines hubris as "exaggerated pride or self confidence." Today, hubris is the single most important element of technological development. And it is taking its toll far and wide. In referring to technologists with hubris, I am specifically not including great inventors such as Edison, or great mathematicians such as Einstein, or physicists such as Fermi. Those were men who were inspired by making discoveries and by unlocking the secrets of the universe. They worked to understand nature and to provide information others could use for further discoveries. They filled in the building blocks of knowledge and simplified our perception of science and technology.

The hubris-laced technologists I refer to are not found in the halls of scientific academia or located in the bullpens where engineers design weapons systems. More likely they are staring into corporate computer monitors in Redmond, Washington; Silicon Valley, California; or computer technology centers in Texas, New York and North Carolina. They work for the companies that produce software and consumer hardware. Their work shows up in computer operating systems, computer applications software, video devices and television.

To illustrate, think of the VCRs that can record television shows for future viewing. What a concept! Simply program the little box containing videotape with a handheld remote control to record a TV channel at a certain time of the day. No need to dwell here about the plight of the technically disadvantaged trying to set up a VCR. It's enough to say that most people can't do it.

Here we are, about 25 years after VCRs became available, and there is no standard set-up procedure. Just let the power in your home go out long enough to lose the settings data in your VCR and your TV, then try to reset the date and time of each. You won't be a happy consumer. Think of the frustration you would have if you were handicapped or old enough that such intricacies no longer come easily. What good is a device if you can't use it? (On a merciful note there is a solution only recently available on some high end--think expensive--VCRs. They automatically scan your available TV channels and obtain and save the local time and date.)

The hubris I refer to in the case of VCRs is the absolute uncaring attitude of the VCR designers about their users. If automobile manufacturers were to make their products as difficult to use as VCRs the government would ban their sale as unsafe vehicles. As each generation of new-model VCRs is designed, more and more capabilities are added but little is done to alleviate the hodgepodge of complex, non-intuitive button pushing necessary to set up the device. Make one mistake and it's back to the beginning of the set-up procedure. It is more than frustrating. It's the technologists' hubris wordlessly saying, "We don't have a problem setting up this VCR--why aren't you smart enough to do it?"

I use the example of the VCR not necessarily as the prime offender of technologists' hubris but as an example most of us can empathize with. Another fine example lurks within your PC controlling all its basic functionality. Dubbed the "operating system," it is a huge piece of very complex software. The operating system of choice for most of us uses multiple "windows," each running and displaying different tasks simultaneously. It is a marvelous conglomeration of software that is so intricate it takes thousands of people to produce and maintain.

As opposed to VCRs, operating systems such as Windows are widely used in the business community. In this environment time wasted in keeping the PCs working directly affects productivity. That means the employees using an errant PC accomplish less work. You would think business organizations would be hesitant to use unreliable products. They are, but Windows is really the only game in town if you want to be sure of compatibility with thousands of application programs.

If operating systems such as Windows are so good, why do we need a new version every two years or so? What's wrong with the old one? The answer to this question is the root of software technologists' hubris. Every "for profit" software organization must have a revenue stream and from that must extract a profit to share with investors. New models are necessary not because old software wears out and needs replacing like mechanical machines, but rather to create a new revenue stream to keep the company in business. As soon as almost every potential customer has bought the new model and the revenue stream starts to dip, it's time to start a new purchasing cycle by introducing a new model.

So, today's computer technology and consumer products are driven not by the need to make better products or longer-lasting products, but rather the need to make products with new features. Features that will have enough sex appeal to convince us to throw out the old and replace it with the new. The emphasis is on "new," not "better."

Managers within the corporate technology development groups are measured not by how well the products being developed work, but by how close to the product release schedule they are. The bruising 10- to 18-hour-per-day work ethic demanded of technologists does not allow much time for thought and reflection about ease of use or intuitive operation of the products being developed. It doesn't even allow for sufficient analysis to determine whether the product is "safe" to use, secure from attack by hackers.

Operating systems are extremely complex and support thousands of application programs written by other companies. Windows usually operates flawlessly while running many application programs at the same time and while connected to printers, CD-ROMs, games, scanners, cameras, telephones and more. It is a tremendous accomplishment by the skills of the software engineers that Windows works so well. Why then is there such an outcry when Windows security is breached? When viruses sneak a ride on incoming e-mail or a Web page? When the virus causes your PC to blurt out private e-mails to a list of recipients swiped from your address book or erases critical information on your hard drive?

Is the cause technologists' hubris? Yes, when it's more important to develop an on-time new release of a product than it is to ensure that the product is safe from attack by viruses. Yes, when more time is spent developing new "features" that won't be used by most PC users than is spent determining whether it is safe to use. Yes, when many operating system settings, predetermined by the developers, may allow attack via the Internet.

If the definition of hubris is "exaggerated pride or self-confidence," then it seems clear that operating systems like Windows are a home base for the mentally infirm. Rewards probably go to those meeting development schedules, not those responsible for ensuring that the product is safe. It's much like the US automobile industry before the Japanese invaded Detroit. Cars were designed in pieces. Design group 1 did the engine, design group 2 the brakes, design group 3 the body, etc. Near the end of the schedule a no name group was responsible for fitting all the stuff together. Did it work? Sure. But the Japanese looked at the car as a total system, not just a conglomeration of sub-systems. They built cars; we built car bodies wrapped around engines.

The Japanese took the hubris out of US automobile development. Their competitive products did it. They made them work flawlessly. They built them to go more than 100,000 miles. They made them safe. They made us want to buy them because they were good value.

What firm is going to develop a product truly competitive with Windows? I am afraid the answer is: none. There is no potential competitor with the clout or the financial wherewithal to make a real head-to-head contest. No one to build a better operating system that works better and is safe. No one that the Windows development team might look to as true competitors. No one that might strike the real enemy: hubris. Without a competitive threat it seems that only the Windows development team itself can rid the organization of its hubris scourge. Only from within can the cure blossom. And only from the top of the organization can "exaggerated pride or self-confidence" be expunged. Is it possible? I hope so. Maybe the anti-trust case now pending against Microsoft can be a catalyst.

It looks increasingly likely that Microsoft will get more than a slap from the US Justice Department at the urging of a number state attorneys general. One of the remedies ordered by the court could require the company to take steps to examine itself and identify hubris from the top down. They could order Microsoft to hire technology-savvy anthropologists to expose the sources of hubris that seem to exist within the organization from top to bottom. The report of their court-ordered findings would include recommendations on how to change the corporate environment to place a value on the execution of product development consistent the needs of users.

The object would not be to destroy the fierce competitive nature of the company but rather to develop objectives for new products that include how well the products satisfy issues of safety and ease of use, not just an endless flow of new features tacked on to each new release. Now that I have identified hubris as the disease that percolates within technology development groups and causes VCRs to be useless and Windows operating systems to be unfriendly and subject to attack, there needs to be a counter view presented. These products perform for millions of people worldwide. We use them every day for pleasure and work. We derive benefits far beyond the price we pay for them. If only we could we could put hubris in perspective and learn to deal with it we might come to find VCRs that set themselves up "out of the box" and operating systems that were intuitively friendly and safe. Technology nirvana.

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