It was the sort
of scene one can only see at the
World Economic Forum's Annual Meetings:
Three men stood together, chatting
amiably while waiting for an elevator.
One was an international civil servant.
One was a US Congressman, One was
a leading professor of economics.
The
three--Supachai Panitchpakdi of WTO, Rep. Sandy Levin
(Democrat of Michigan) and Jagdish Bhagwati of Columbia
University--had just left a workshop of the sort that
one can find only at the WEF. It was a discussion of "After
Doha: Now Comes the Tough Part," by a roomful
of experts on the subject--trade ministers, corporate
CEOs, legislators, journalists, top officials of the
World Trade Organization, leading environmentalists,
trade unionists, academicians.
The
principal speaker at the session was Robert
Zoellick,
the US Trade Negotiator who is widely
credited as the man responsible for the successful
conclusion of the WTO Ministerial Meeting held
in Doha, Qatar, which opened a new "development
round" of trade talks.
Zoellick
was introduced by Stuart E. Eizenstat, former
US
Under Secretary of State, who served
as the facilitator for the workshop, leading
a team of 24 "discussion leaders."
Zoellick
spoke of the need for what he called "creative
risk-taking" and the "absolutely critical
role of the developing countries in helping set
up coalitions." And he hailed the "second
step" taken in Geneva to set up the next
WTO Ministerial Meeting, in Mexico, and to set
a three-year target for conclusion of the round.
He said his optimism about the future health
of the WTO system was reinforced by the outcome
of the Doha meeting.
Panitchpakdi,
who is slated to be the next Director General
of WTO, reminded the 120-plus people
in the room that past rounds of trade talks also
had development elements. He said the talks cannot
avoid the question of barriers to trade in agriculture
and textiles. He also urged that a way be found
to improve on the "green room" process
in which a handful of negotiators shape the final
version of the outcome.
A
contrary point of view was expressed by Dani
Rodrik, a professor
at Harvard University's John
F. Kennedy School of Government, who was given
the task of "challenger." He led of
by challenging the notion that the new round
of trade talks can be called a"development
round." He noted that there is one market
that is "the most restricted in the world"--labor
mobility--but he said that problem is not up
for discussion at these talks. Rodrik also cited
a need for action on industrial tariffs (on leather
goods, among other things) that affect developing
nations and on reform of anti-dumping legislation.
And he pointed out that action to open markets
to agricultural products will yield benefits
to relatively few developing countries.
The
participants, who were seated at 12 tables,
were asked to
discuss with their table-mates
four issues related to the new round and predict
what its final agreement might contain. They
voiced strong optimism that it would: deal with
the issue of export subsidies for agricultural
products; produce a balanced approach to environmental
standards and "protectionism" charges;
open markets to services; and truly deserve to
be considered a "development round."
Many people took part in the open discussion,
among them: Sharan Burrow, President of the Australian
Council of Trade Unions; Raymond V. Gilmartin,
CEO of Merck and Co.; Congressman Jim Kolbe (Republican
of Arizona); and Hidehiro Konno, Japan's Vice
Minister for International Affairs, Ministry
of Economy, Trade and Industry.
And
there were differences of opinion aplenty.
One speaker
urged that an institutional forum
be set up to enable nongovernmental organizations
(NGOs) to share their views with the WTO. Another
speaker, from Oxfam, disagreed, saying NGOs don't
want to meet with the WTO and would look upon
such a forum as "a sop."
The
last word was given to Mike Moore, the WTO's
Director
General, who warned that unless development
is not at the center of this new round of talks, "there
will be no conclusion." For the developing
countries, it's a matter of survival. He said
the WTO will "have to be slightly more radical
in reaching out to the wider society."
But
the benefits of freer trade are certainly worth
the effort,
he said, noting that reform
of the trade system could give developing countries
three to five times as much as they receive as
official development assistance (ODA)--or eight
times as much as they have gotten from all the
debt relief put together so far. "Why aren't
those young people on the streets demanding this?" he
asked.
When
it was over, one of the participants, a veteran
New York
lawyer who specializes in negotiation
and dispute resolution, turned to a table-mate
and pronounced judgment: "That was a really
good session," he said. There were no dissenters
within the sound of his voice.
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