There are two or three things we look for in
a summit like the India Economic Summit. One
is to communicate to the international participants
and even, frankly, to the Indian participants
face to face, what the state of play is in India.
Where are we on reforms, where are we held up,
what are the challenges, what have we achieved.
At the end of the meeting there is an agenda
for future action which we present to the government.
So there is an output from this meeting, so that
everyone knows in a documented form where we
stand. We also want foreign investment to come
into India. We are not doing well in getting
foreign investment--we are at about $3-4 billion
a year which is chicken feed for an economy like
this, and this meeting is useful because it is
entirely focused on the promotion of foreign
investment into India. So whether you're discussing
power or IT, at the end of the day the central
focus is foreign investment. I think this [India
Economic Summit] is a meeting that has built
its own credibility over the last 17 years. It
attracts people, there is a lot of learning for
everybody, and the final point is there is a
lot of networking--foreign participants with
Indian participants, foreign participants with
each other.
What are the prospects for the world economy?
The US economy has such a major impact on the
global economy and on what happens to growth
and recession. I see the US economy still a year
away from recovery, which will continue to impact
world trade. Therefore, many economies which
were growing very rapidly, like Singapore, are
severely affected.
Indian growth has slowed down as well. We need
to focus on our reforms and our implementation
so that we can fuel growth. We are dependent
on the domestic market much more than we are
on the international, which is why the international
slowdown has not driven us into recession--we've
gone down from 6 percent to 5 percent annual
growth. If we continue with reforms and implementation
efficiently, we can keep growing. The overall
world economy can only pick up, however, once
the US economy picks up and that looks at least
a year away.
India is still experiencing relatively high
growth, but industrial growth is down. Why is
that?
When you look at the industrial index it really
reflects the slowdown of manufacturing. The manufacturing
industry is dependent on infrastructure, but
infrastructure projects are not going ahead so
manufacturing is not going ahead. Two large segments
of the economy--power and railways--have slowed
down enormously and that has impacted all the
people who make power equipment, railway equipment
or provide services to these sectors. There is
no demand domestically and there is no demand
from outside either because of the slowdown.
As soon as infrastructure picks up--you see a
couple of power projects, you see the railways
moving, more highway construction happening--we'll
be back to industrial growth. Infrastructure
investment is the key to higher growth in India.
What attracts foreign companies to India?
Companies
are moving into India, some moving their
back offices here, because of our skills,
our competitiveness, our costs. General Electric
has set up its largest technology development
center for Global GE in Bangalore. They're
going to be employing 1000 Indian PhDs. The
only other
center GE has like this is in New York state.
So they're not talking about low skills and
labor intensive work. This is high-tech, high-level
research work to be done by Indian engineers
and scientists. Unilever has also set up its
global R&D center in Bangalore. Why are
they doing this? Because we've got amazing
people
available to work.
But don't all the profits leave the country?
Is this benefiting Indians by employing people,
or is there a further benefit?
There
are several multinationals expanding their
investments into India. In the case of
one multinational
they are heading for an investment of $1 billion.
Now that investment is here, we're developing
assets. People are being employed and their
quality of life is being improved. I think
it's wrong
to think that these companies take all the
money out of the country--they plough back
a lot. They
have to finance expansion. Gone are the days
when you invest in India just to take the money
out. That you do if you have a short-term perspective,
if this is a one-night stand. But India's not
a country for one-night stands, India's a country
for the long haul. That's what people complain
about, the bureaucracy, red tape etcetera.
When it's for the long haul, India benefits.
Where
will Enron take its power station? A two-thousand
mega watt power project--it's a national asset,
forget who owns it. We need power, we need
it to be generated and distributed, we need
it as
a reasonable cost. Enron also built a 60-kilometer
highway, they built a township, they built
a hospital, all of which are now national assets.
This we sforget in the process of bashing multinationals,
of bashing Enron, we forget that they've created
a world class asset for India. And whenever
people
say they're anti-this, anti-that, I ask them "What
are you pro?" Because what's the solution?
Give me a solution. Don't talk about what is
wrong, talk about how to do it. If this is
wrong, fine. How do you do it? We need jobs
in this
country--if we get a billion dollars of investment
we'll create so many jobs. That's what we want,
we want to create 10 million jobs a year.