The
verdict is in. Web users ignore advertising on
most web sites. Banners designed to attract your
attention don’t. Advertisers hoping you will
click on their ads have received your message loud
and clear and they no longer spend their advertising
budget on the web. The result is that many of your
favorite sites that rely on advertising revenue
will either go out of business or must find other
ways to get the revenue needed keep on going.
The
whole structure of the World Wide Web was originally
based on the easy and free availability of information.
Ten years ago scientists and engineers wanted to be
able to share information with each other in real time.
The Internet had existed for some time and connected
most of their offices but exchanging documents and
pictures was a tedious process. Then in 1991 HyperText
Transfer Protocol, known as http, was developed. That
protocol formed the basis for the World Wide Web.
Shortly
after the advent
of http came
another development
now known as HyperText
Markup Language or
html. It’s the
language that controls
the stuff that comes
in to your computer
over the Internet and
ends up in your browser.
There it tells Internet
Explorer or Netscape
browsers where to place
the text and images
on your screen. It
was html and the early
Mosaic browser that
turned the Internet
scientists had conceived
into a tool that anyone
with a PC or a Mac
could use to view a
web site. Today there
are more than 11 million
publicly available
web sites to visit.
The
5-year history and
spectacular growth
of the web since browsers
were given away free,
can be sliced into
periods that define
its behavior. It started
with the rude Wild
Wild West period with
an “anything
goes” attitude
and glides fitfully
into today’s
quagmire of dot com
failures.
WWW
stands for Wild Wild
West … it
wasn’t long after
free web browsers from
Netscape were downloaded
by the millions that
anyone with the desire
to have a web site
could create one. And
build them they did.
It was a period without
rules, not even common
courtesy. Pornography
flourished and “surfing” the
web to find “cool” stuff
became a habit for
millions of people
worldwide. It wasn’t
pretty but it proved
that a new communication
media had arrived and
had been embraced by
the masses.
The
entrepreneurial invasion … as
the web grew, and grew,
and grew some more
there was an irresistible
attraction to making
money in a whole new
way. Every sort of
trinket and trash was
for sale. New small
companies opened whole
new enterprises that
flourished. Think of
E-Bay auctions and
Monster.com the mammoth
job search site. Larger
traditional companies
started to use web
sites as information
portals, essentially
putting existing brochures
and contact information
on the web. The web
was edging its way
toward e-commerce.
The
dot com storm … some
of the small companies
on the web were attracting
millions of visitors
a day. Some were selling
goods and services
and others providing
information and entertainment.
Big companies could
no longer treat the
web as a passing phenomenon;
they felt the scrappy
web entrepreneurs threatened
their marketplace.
They responded with
big budget web sites
and many relied on
the advertising model
as a way of defraying
the costs. These sites
received lots of visitors
who would read banner
ads, click on them
and be sent to the
advertisers web page.
The advertiser paid
for the ad and received
potential customers
in return. But…
Advertising
doesn’t
work … 2001 saw
the beginning of the
end of the web advertising
business model. Even
though many web sites
had large streams of
visitors daily, the
visitors carefully
avoided the advertising
banners, pop-up screens
and other annoying
tricks. They did not
click on the ads and
quick as a wink advertising
budgets dried up. The
dot com storm was over
and thousands of sites
disappeared along with
tens of thousands of
employees. 2002 will
see the end of many
more web sites that
relied on advertising
unless they can find
other ways of creating
a revenue stream.
The
search for income … those
web sites that want
to stay in business
will have to find a
way to pay for the
privilege. With the
dot com period gone
and web ad budgets
decimated, venture
capital headed for
greener pastures. No
longer could money
be raised without a
clear view of how the
venture would make
real and substantial
profits. Without those
resources there seems
now to be only one
last resort source
of revenue. You guessed
it. It’s you
and me.
Ask
yourself… would
you pay to get your
news, find information
on search engines,
and all the other benefits
you derive from the
web? For now your answer
is probably… no
way! But, you will
be put to the test.
Watch for the new term “micropayments” to
creep up. Micropayments
are based on the concept
that if you were just
charged a few cents
each time you used
a web site you would
overlook the pain of
having to pay. It would
be like the telephone
bill or the electric
bill, you pay for what
you use. Each little
micropayment would
be automatically accumulated
to your account and
every so often your
credit card will be
debited for the total.
Get
used to it! Micropayments
will probably be the
replacement for the
web equivalent of “free
lunch”.
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