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Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Forest Oil, Salix Pharmaceuticals, Genentech, Waddell & Reed and Quicksilver Resources

Posted : Mon, 14 Apr 2008 10:00:35 GMT
Author : IL-ZACKS.COM
Category : Press Release
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CHICAGO - (Business Wire) Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Forest Oil Corporation (NYSE: FST), Salix Pharmaceuticals Limited (Nasdaq: SLXP), Genentech, Inc. (NYSE: DNA), Waddell & Reed Financial Inc. (NYSE: WDR) and Quicksilver Resources (NYSE: KWK).

See the latest posts to the Analyst Blog: http://www.zacks.com/blog/post_info.html?g=6

Here are highlights from Fridays Analyst Blog:

Forest Oil Improves, Stays a Hold

We are maintaining our Hold recommendation on Forest Oil Corporation (NYSE: FST) shares ahead of the companys first quarter results. The companys recent results have benefited from the Houston Exploration Company acquisition. Forest ended 2007 with 2.1 Tcfe of proved reserves representing a reserve replacement rate of 236% at a cost of $2.21 per Mcfe.

On April 1, Forest Oil announced a new natural gas discovery in Canada and a bolt-on acquisition in the Ark-La-Tex area. The discovery is the Utica Shales, located in Quebec, Canada. This recent success in Utica Shale bodes well for the company's long-term organic growth prospects. We are raising our estimates to reflect higher commodity prices and contribution from recent acquisitions.

The company has accumulated approximately 269,000 net acres in the area over the last two years, where it drilled two vertical wells in 2007 and plans to drill three horizontal wells in 2008. The company estimates that the resource potential of the area is around 4 Tcfe. First production is expected in 2009, with the potential for a full-scale development program in 2010 and beyond.

Generics Gouging Salix Pharma

Salix Pharmaceuticals Limited (Nasdaq: SLXP) is a specialty pharmaceutical company engaged in acquiring, developing and commercializing prescription drugs used in the treatment of a variety of gastrointestinal diseases. The company suffered a major setback in December 2007 when the FDA granted approval to three generic versions of the companys lead product, Colazal.

This is devastating news for Salix. The company will lose a major part of its revenues and earnings as Colazal was a significant contributor to both the top-and bottom-line.

As such, we expect 2008 to be an extremely challenging year for the company with a significant decline in both revenues and earnings. Based on our new model, we see substantial decline in both earnings and revenues in 2008. While revenues should decline almost 34% to $178 million, we expect EPS to decline 227% to $1.12.

Blockbuster Potential for DNA

We are reiterating our Buy rating on Genentech, Inc. (NYSE: DNA) and keeping our target price at $86 per share. We remind investors that we upgraded the name in February based on the accelerated approval of Avastin for first-line metastatic breast cancer. Our EPS forecasts for 2008 through 2012 have been adjusted higher based on expected higher sales of Avastin going forward. We are also encouraged by the recent positive data on Rituxan in multiple sclerosis (MS).

Genentech is the world's premier biotechnology company. The stock has struggled over the past several quarters. However, the pipeline is solid and with renewed Avastin and Rituxan growth, the valuation looks very attractive at this level. We view the name as a core holding.

Waddell & Reed a Near-Term Hold

We are initiating coverage on the shares of Waddell & Reed Financial Inc. (NYSE: WDR) with a Hold rating and a six-month target price of $34.00 per share. WDR is one of the oldest mutual fund and asset management companies in the U.S., with almost $65 billion assets under management. WDR's assets have grown by more than 175% from $23 billion during the last 10 years.

The company reported impressive results for fourth quarter and fiscal year 2007. During the quarter, WDR reached record sales levels in all of its operating channels, despite adverse market conditions. Though the company's fundamentals call for a higher than Hold rating; given the current uncertainties related to the financial sector, we will look for a more opportune time to upgrade the recommendation.

Quicksilver Quickly Hits Target

Due to the recent run up in share price, Quicksilver Resources (NYSE: KWK) has reached our price target and we have changed our current recommendation from a Buy to a Hold. Quicksilver's story is still very compelling and nothing fundamental has changed about the companies operations or ability to grow in the near term via the Barnett shale play of North Texas. Our recommendation change is solely of function of share price.

If the price pulls back around the $36.00 per share range, we recommend buying the stock. We will be updating our report in a few weeks time when the company reports first quarter 2008 earnings. We estimate that KWK will report Q1 earnings of $0.26 per share, and we see full-year 2008 earnings coming in at $1.16 per share.

Get the full analysis of all these stocks by going to http://at.zacks.com/?id=2649.

About Zacks Equity Research

Zacks Equity Research provides the best of quantitative and qualitative analysis to help investors know what stocks to buy and which to sell for the long-term.

Continuous coverage is provided for a universe of 1,150 publicly traded stocks. Our analysts are organized by industry which gives them keen insights to developments that affect company profits and stock performance. Recommendations and target prices are six-month time horizons.

Zacks "Profit from the Pros" e-mail newsletter provides highlights of the latest analysis from Zacks Equity Research. Subscribe to this free newsletter today: http://at.zacks.com/?id=2677

About Zacks

Zacks.com is a property of Zacks Investment Research, Inc., which was formed in 1978 by Leonard Zacks. As a PhD in mathematics Len knew he could find patterns in stock market data that would lead to superior investment results. Amongst his many accomplishments was the formation of his proprietary stock picking system; the Zacks Rank, which continues to outperform the market by nearly a 3 to 1 margin. The best way to unlock the profitable stock recommendations and market insights of Zacks Investment Research is through our free daily email newsletter; Profit from the Pros. In short, it's your steady flow of Profitable ideas GUARANTEED to be worth your time! Register for your free subscription to Profit from the Pros.

Visit http://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors should always research companies and securities before making any investments. Nothing herein should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security.

Zacks.com
Mark Vickery
Web Content Editor
312-265-9380
Visit: www.zacks.com


Copyright © 2008 Business Wire. All rights reserved.



Article : Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Forest Oil, Salix Pharmaceuticals, Genentech, Waddell & Reed and Quicksilver Resources
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