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Royal Caribbean Reports Third Quarter Results

Posted : Tue, 03 Nov 2009 13:30:23 GMT
Author : Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
Category : Press Release
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MIAMI, Nov. 3 FL-RCL-earmomgs

MIAMI, Nov. 3 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE, OSE: RCL) today announced earnings for the third quarter of 2009 and provided guidance for the fourth quarter and full year.

Key Highlights

  • Third quarter 2009 net income was $230.4 million, or $1.07 per share, compared to net income of $411.9 million, or $1.92 per share in 2008. The results were better than the company's most recent guidance of $0.95 to $1.00 per share, driven primarily by the strength of close-in bookings.
  • Net Yields for the third quarter decreased 16.5% versus 2008, somewhat better than the company's previous guidance of down approximately 18%.
  • Net Cruise Costs per APCD ("NCC") for the third quarter decreased 10.0% versus 2008. NCC, excluding bunker for the third quarter declined 3.8% versus 2008.
  • The company projects net yields to decline 7% to 8% in the fourth quarter and approximately 14% for the full year.
  • Earnings per share ("EPS") estimates for the full year are expected to be approximately $0.70 and are expected to be a slight loss in the fourth quarter.
  • The company took delivery of the widely anticipated Oasis of the Seas on October 28th.

"Like many other travel companies, we saw more strength than we expected during our peak season but have been experiencing more pricing pressure on some of our traditionally softer fall season sailings," said Richard D. Fain, chairman and chief executive officer. Fain continued, "Overall though, the business environment is largely unchanged and stable. We expect the yield deficit to continue to improve in the fourth quarter and we remain optimistic that 2010 will bring year-over-year yield improvement."

Third Quarter 2009 Results
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. today announced net income for the third quarter 2009 of $230.4 million, or $1.07 per share, compared to net income of $411.9 million, or $1.92 per share, in 2008.

Revenues were $1.8 billion, versus $2.1 billion in the third quarter of 2008. Net Yields decreased 16.5% from the prior year or 14.5% after adjusting for year over year changes in currency. Net yields improved approximately one and a half percentage points from the company's previous guidance, mainly as a result of the strength of close-in bookings. As was announced during the second quarter, the H1N1 virus had a negative impact on yields of approximately two percentage points during the third quarter.

NCC decreased 10.0% from the prior year or 8.8% after adjusting for changes in currency. NCC, excluding fuel, declined 3.8% from the prior year or 2.2% after adjusting for changes in currency.

Fuel costs were in-line with the company's previous calculations. Third quarter pricing averaged $460 per metric ton and consumption was 318.2 thousand metric tons.

Revenue Environment
The company reported that booking volume since mid-September was up about 40% compared to same period last year, with favorable comparison for cruises departing both in the fourth quarter and next year. "While the pricing environment is still not what we'd like it to be, we're pleased to see solid growth in our order book and a rapidly diminishing gap in year-over-year booked volume comparisons," said Brian J. Rice, executive vice president and chief financial officer.

The company expects fourth quarter Net Yields to decline approximately 7% to 8%, slightly worse than its previous forecast of down mid-single digits. "During the fourth quarter, we historically source a disproportionate number of our guests from Florida," said Rice. "As a consequence of the weaker economy in the state, we do not anticipate the same strength of close-in bookings in the fourth quarter as we saw in the third quarter."

The company noted that its new ships, Royal Caribbean's Oasis-class and Celebrity's Solstice-class vessels, continue to command significant premiums and volumes. Oasis of the Seas will enter service on December 1, 2009; Celebrity Solstice and Celebrity Equinox are already in service, with Celebrity Eclipse debuting in April of 2010.

For the full year the company maintained its projection for Net Yields to decline approximately 14%, or 12% to 13% after adjusting for changes in currency.

The company affirmed its earlier outlook for year-over-year improvements in net revenue yields in the first quarter and for the full year of 2010.

Expense Guidance
NCC are forecasted to decrease approximately 10% for the fourth quarter and the full year. After adjusting for changes in currency, NCC are forecasted to decline approximately 12% in the fourth quarter and 8% to 9% for the full year.

Excluding fuel, NCC are expected to decline 7% to 8% for the fourth quarter and approximately 6% to 7% for the full year.

While it is early in the annual planning process, the company did comment that it anticipates flat NCC, excluding fuel, for full year 2010. Efficiencies on the new hardware, sustainable cost reductions completed in 2008 and 2009 and having attained initial critical mass in its international operations are all factors that will support this goal.

Fuel Expense
The company does not forecast fuel price changes and its cost calculations are based on current at-the-pump prices net of hedging impacts. Based on today's fuel prices the company has included $158 million and $596 million of fuel expense in its fourth quarter and full year 2009 guidance, respectively.

The company's fuel consumption is currently 40% hedged for the fourth quarter. In keeping with its previously disclosed hedging strategy, forecasted consumption is now 50% hedged in 2010, 50% hedged in 2011 and 10% hedged in 2012.

                                            Fourth Quarter 2009
                                            -------------------
    Fuel Consumption                              323,000 mt
    Fuel Expenses                                $158 Million
    Percent Hedged (forward consumption)              40%
    Impact of 10% change in fuel prices           $9 Million


Forward Guidance Summary
The company provided the following estimates for the fourth quarter and full year 2009. Except for earnings per share, all estimates are as compared to the fourth quarter and full year 2008, respectively.

                                  Fourth Quarter 2009     Full Year 2009
                                  -------------------     --------------
    EPS                           Approx. ($0.05)         Approx. $0.70
    Capacity                           7.5%                    5.1%
    Net Yields                     (7%) - (8%)             Approx. (14%)
    Net Cruise Costs per APCD      Approx. (10%)           Approx. (10%)
    Net Cruise Costs per APCD,
      excluding Fuel               (7%) - (8%)              (6%) - (7%)
    Depreciation and
     Amortization                  Approx. $150 Million  $565 to $570 Million
    Interest Expense               Approx. $80 Million   Approx. $305 Million

Liquidity and Financing Arrangements
As of September 30, 2009, liquidity was $1.1 billion, including cash and the undrawn portion of the company's unsecured revolving credit facility.

Capital Expenditures and Capacity Guidance
Based on current ship orders, projected capital expenditures for 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012, estimates are unchanged at $2.1 billion, $2.2 billion, $1.0 billion, and $1.0 billion, respectively.

Capacity increases for the same four years are 5.1%, 11.6%, 8.8% and 2.7%, respectively.

The company took delivery of the Royal Caribbean International's Oasis of the Seas on October 28th. The vessel was funded with a 12-year amortizing unsecured facility that matures in 2021. Oasis of the Seas' launch continues to be one of the most widely anticipated and reported vessel deliveries of all time and the company expects an acceleration of media coverage and buzz when the vessel arrives in Florida on November 11th.

Conference Call Scheduled
The company has scheduled a conference call at 10 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time today to discuss its earnings. This call can be heard, either live or on a delayed basis, on the company's investor relations web site at www.rclinvestor.com.

Terminology

Available Passenger Cruise Days ("APCD")
APCDs are our measurement of capacity and represent double occupancy per cabin multiplied by the number of cruise days for the period.

Gross Cruise Costs
Gross Cruise Costs represent the sum of total cruise operating expenses plus marketing, selling and administrative expenses.

Gross Yields
Gross Yields represent total revenues per APCD.

Net Cruise Costs
Net Cruise Costs represent Gross Cruise Costs excluding commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses. In measuring our ability to control costs in a manner that positively impacts net income, we believe changes in Net Cruise Costs to be the most relevant indicator of our performance. We have not provided a quantitative reconciliation of projected Gross Cruise Costs to projected Net Cruise Costs due to the significant uncertainty in projecting the costs deducted to arrive at this measure. Accordingly, we do not believe that reconciling information for such projected figures would be meaningful.

Net Debt-to-Capital
Net Debt-to-Capital is a ratio which represents total long-term debt, including current portion of long-term debt, less cash and cash equivalents ("Net Debt") divided by the sum of Net Debt and total shareholders' equity. We believe Net Debt and Net Debt-to-Capital, along with total long-term debt and shareholders' equity are useful measures of our capital structure.

Net Revenues
Net Revenues represent total revenues less commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses.

Net Yields
Net Yields represent Net Revenues per APCD. We utilize Net Revenues and Net Yields to manage our business on a day-to-day basis as we believe that it is the most relevant measure of our pricing performance because it reflects the cruise revenues earned by us net of our most significant variable costs, which are commissions, transportation and other expenses and onboard and other expenses. We have not provided a quantitative reconciliation of projected Gross Yields to projected Net Yields due to the significant uncertainty in projecting the costs deducted to arrive at this measure. Accordingly, we do not believe that reconciling information for such projected figures would be meaningful.

Occupancy
Occupancy, in accordance with cruise vacation industry practice, is calculated by dividing Passenger Cruise Days by APCD. A percentage in excess of 100% indicates that three or more passengers occupied some cabins.

Passenger Cruise Days
Passenger Cruise Days represent the number of passengers carried for the period multiplied by the number of days of their respective cruises.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise vacation company that operates Royal Caribbean International, Celebrity Cruises, Pullmantur, Azamara Cruises and CDF Croisieres de France. The company has a combined total of 39 ships in service and four under construction. It also offers unique land-tour vacations in Alaska, Asia, Australia, Canada, Europe, Latin America and New Zealand. Additional information can be found on www.royalcaribbean.com, www.celebrity.com, www.pullmantur.es, www.azamaracruises.com or www.rclinvestor.com.

Certain statements in this release constitute forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as "anticipate", "believe", "could", "estimate", "expect", "goal", "intend", "may", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", "will", and similar expressions are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements do not guarantee future performance and may involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied in those forward-looking statements. Examples of these risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to the following: the adverse impact of the worldwide economic downturn on the demand for cruises, the impact of the economic downturn on the availability of our credit facility and our ability to generate cash flows from operations or obtain new borrowings from the credit or capital markets in amounts sufficient to satisfy our capital expenditures, debt repayments and other financing needs, the impact of disruptions in the global financial markets on the ability of our counterparties and others to perform their obligations to us, the uncertainties of conducting business internationally and expanding into new markets, the volatility in fuel prices and foreign exchange rates, the impact of changes in operating and financing costs, including changes in foreign currency, interest rates, fuel, food, payroll, airfare for our shipboard personnel, insurance and security costs, impact of problems encountered at shipyards and their subcontractors including insolvency or financial difficulties, vacation industry competition and changes in industry capacity and overcapacity, the impact of compliance with or changes in tax, environmental, health, safety and other laws and regulations affecting our business or our principal shareholders, the impact of pending or threatened litigation, enforcement actions, fines or penalties, the impact of delayed or cancelled ship orders, the impact of emergency ship repairs, including the related lost revenue, the impact on prices of new ships due to shortages in available shipyard facilities, component parts and shipyard consolidations, negative incidents involving cruise ships including those involving the health and safety of passengers, reduced consumer demand for cruises as a result of any number of reasons, including geo-political and economic uncertainties and the unavailability or cost of air service, the international political climate, fears of terrorist and pirate attacks, armed conflict and the resulting concerns over safety and security aspects of traveling, the impact of the spread of contagious diseases, the impact of changes or disruptions to external distribution channels for our guest bookings, the loss of key personnel or our inability to retain or recruit qualified personnel, changes in our stock price or principal shareholders, uncertainties of a foreign legal system as we are not incorporated in the United States, the unavailability of ports of call, weather, and other factors described in further detail in Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The above examples are not exhaustive and new risks emerge from time to time. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. In addition, certain financial measures in this release constitute non-GAAP financial measures as defined by Regulation G. A reconciliation of these items can be found on our investor relations website at www.rclinvestor.com.

Financial Tables Follow

                                  ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                             CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
                       (unaudited, in thousands, except per share data)

                                  Quarter Ended        Nine Months Ended
                                  September 30,           September 30,
                                 ---------------         ---------------
                                 2009         2008       2009         2008
                                 ----         ----       ----         ----
    Passenger ticket
     Revenues                 $1,270,610  $1,498,221  $3,176,473  $3,676,201
    Onboard and
     other revenues              492,932     565,168   1,261,686   1,400,047
                                 -------     -------   ---------   ---------
      Total
       revenues                1,763,542   2,063,389   4,438,159   5,076,248
                               ---------   ---------   ---------   ---------
    Cruise operating expenses:
      Commissions,
       transportation
       and other                 303,969     375,638     772,350     918,313
      Onboard and other          152,579     168,145     348,336     363,980
      Payroll and related        171,164     170,269     505,376     487,851
      Food                        88,394      90,432     254,710     255,530
      Fuel                       146,254     207,274     437,617     539,807
      Other operating            253,726     263,903     715,468     763,365
                                 -------     -------     -------     -------
        Total cruise
         Operating expenses    1,116,086   1,275,661   3,033,857   3,328,846
    Marketing,
     selling and
     administrative
     expenses                    196,594     191,115     576,344     592,604
    Depreciation and
     amortization
     expenses                    144,021     134,706     421,802     386,373
                                 -------     -------     -------     -------
    Operating Income             306,841     461,907     406,156     768,425
                                 -------     -------     -------     -------
    Other income (expense):
      Interest income              2,225       5,620       5,114      11,143
      Interest expense, net of
       interest capitalized      (73,912)    (80,560)   (221,701)   (239,594)
      Other (expense) income      (4,762)     24,920     (30,501)     32,269
                                  ------      ------     -------      ------
                                 (76,449)    (50,020)   (247,088)   (196,182)
                                 -------     -------    --------    --------
    Net Income                $  230,392  $  411,887  $  159,068  $  572,243
                                ========    ========    ========    ========

    Earnings Per Share:
     Basic                    $     1.08  $     1.93  $     0.74  $     2.68
                                   =====       =====       =====       =====
      Diluted                 $     1.07  $     1.92  $     0.74  $     2.67
                                   =====       =====       =====       =====
    Weighted-Average
     Shares Outstanding:
      Basic                      213,839     213,524     213,769     213,445
                                 =======     =======     =======     =======
      Diluted                    215,669     214,172     214,773     214,334
                                 =======     =======     =======     =======


    STATISTICS
                                 Quarter Ended         Nine Months Ended
                                 September 30,           September 30,
                                -------------            -------------
                              2009        2008          2009        2008
                              ----        ----          ----        ----

    Passengers Carried      1,046,943   1,072,358     2,958,219    3,093,748
    Passenger Cruise Days   7,545,314   7,487,096    21,105,895   20,719,165
    APCD                    7,157,608   6,945,217    20,486,192   19,640,167
    Occupancy                   105.4%      107.8%        103.0%       105.5%



                             ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                              CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
                           (in thousands, except share data)

                                                             As of
                                                             -----
                                                  September 30,  December 31,
                                                       2009          2008
                                                       ----          ----
                                                   (unaudited)
      Assets
      Current assets
        Cash and cash equivalents                   $   285,863   $   402,878
        Trade and other receivables, net                334,666       271,287
        Inventories                                     109,663        96,077
        Prepaid expenses and other assets               185,360       125,160
        Derivative financial instruments                105,084        81,935
                                                        -------        ------
           Total current assets                       1,020,636       977,337

      Property and equipment, net                    14,203,910    13,878,998
      Goodwill                                          803,189       779,246
      Other assets                                    1,158,560       827,729
                                                      ---------       -------
                                                    $17,186,295   $16,463,310
                                                    ===========   ===========
      Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
      Current liabilities
        Current portion of long-term debt            $  667,608   $   471,893
        Accounts payable                                270,472       245,225
        Accrued interest                                145,586       128,879
        Accrued expenses and other liabilities          513,345       687,369
        Customer deposits                             1,002,488       968,520
        Hedged firm commitments                         163,318       172,339
                                                        -------       -------
           Total current liabilities                  2,762,817     2,674,225
      Long-term debt                                  6,628,442     6,539,510
      Other long-term liabilities                       351,290       446,563

      Commitments and contingencies

      Shareholders' equity
        Preferred stock ($0.01 par value;
         20,000,000 shares authorized;
         none outstanding)                                    -             -
        Common stock ($0.01 par value;
         500,000,000 shares authorized;
         224,213,977 and 223,899,076 shares
         issued, September 30, 2009                       2,242         2,239
         and December 31, 2008, respectively)
        Paid-in capital                               2,969,663     2,952,540
        Retained earnings                             4,751,597     4,592,529
        Accumulated other comprehensive
         income (loss)                                  133,947      (319,936)
        Treasury stock (10,308,683 and
         11,076,701 common shares at cost,
         September 30, 2009 and December 31,
         2008, respectively)                           (413,703)     (424,360)
                                                       --------      --------
           Total shareholders' equity                 7,443,746     6,803,012
                                                      ---------     ---------
                                                    $17,186,295   $16,463,310
                                                    ===========   ===========


                              ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                         CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
                               (unaudited, in thousands)

                                                          Nine Months Ended
                                                             September 30,
                                                             -------------
                                                           2009        2008
                                                           ----        ----

      Operating Activities
      Net income                                        $159,068    $572,243
      Adjustments:
        Depreciation and amortization                    421,802     386,373
      Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
        Increase in trade and other receivables, net     (18,029)    (16,835)
        Increase in inventories                          (12,539)    (18,528)
        Increase in prepaid expenses and other assets     (9,433)     (9,165)
        Increase (decrease) in accounts payable           21,915      (1,652)
        Increase in accrued interest                      16,706       5,682
        Increase in accrued expenses and other
         liabilities                                      31,623      61,648
        Increase in customer deposits                     13,840      73,404
      Other, net                                          38,826      (8,406)
                                                          ------      ------
      Net cash provided by operating activities          663,779   1,044,764
                                                         -------   ---------

      Investing Activities
      Purchases of property and equipment             (1,153,090) (1,413,347)
      Cash received on settlement of
       derivative financial instruments                  105,964     256,338
      Loans and equity contributions to
       unconsolidated affiliates                        (181,683)    (41,429)
      Proceeds from the sale of
       Celebrity Galaxy                                  290,928           -
      Other, net                                            (100)    (11,317)
                                                            ----     -------
      Net cash used in investing activities             (937,981) (1,209,755)
                                                        --------  ----------

      Financing Activities
      Debt proceeds                                      992,463   1,143,682
      Debt issuance costs                                (35,819)    (13,400)
      Repayments of debt                                (804,356)   (762,826)
      Dividends paid                                           -    (128,045)
      Proceeds from exercise of
       common stock options                                  290       3,656
      Other, net                                           3,827      (4,318)
                                                           -----      ------
      Net cash provided by
       financing activities                              156,405     238,749
                                                         -------     -------

      Effect of exchange rate
       changes on cash                                       782      (2,579)

      Net (decrease) increase in cash
       and cash equivalents                             (117,015)     71,179
      Cash and cash equivalents at
       beginning of period                               402,878     230,784
                                                         -------     -------
      Cash and cash equivalents
       at end of period                                 $285,863    $301,963
                                                        ========    ========

      Supplemental Disclosure
      Cash paid during the period for:
        Interest, net of amount capitalized             $205,873    $226,172
                                                        ========    ========



                             ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD.
                           NON-GAAP RECONCILING INFORMATION
                                     (unaudited)

    Gross Yields and Net Yields were calculated as follows
    (in thousands, except APCD and Yields):

                                   Quarter Ended       Nine Months Ended
                                   September 30,         September 30,
                                   -------------       -----------------
                                 2009       2008        2009       2008
                                  ----      ----        ----       ----
      Passenger ticket
       revenues             $1,270,610   $1,498,221 $ 3,176,473 $ 3,676,201
      Onboard and other
       revenues                492,932      565,168   1,261,686   1,400,047
                               -------      -------   ---------   ---------
      Total revenues         1,763,542    2,063,389   4,438,159   5,076,248
                             =========    =========   =========   =========
      Less:
        Commissions,
         and other             303,969      375,638     772,350     918,313
        Onboard and
         other                 152,579      168,145     348,336     363,980
                               -------      -------     -------     -------
      Net revenues          $1,306,994   $1,519,606 $ 3,317,473 $ 3,793,955
                            ==========   ==========  ==========  ==========

      APCD                   7,157,608    6,945,217  20,486,192  19,640,167
      Gross Yields          $   246.39   $   297.09 $    216.64 $    258.46
      Net Yields            $   182.60   $   218.80 $    161.94 $    193.17


       Gross Cruise Costs and Net Cruise Costs were calculated as follows
       (in thousands, except APCD and costs per APCD):

                                    Quarter Ended       Nine Months Ended
                                    September 30,         September 30,
                                    -------------       -----------------
                                 2009       2008        2009       2008
                                 ----       ----        ----       ----
      Total cruise
       operating
       expenses             $1,116,086  $ 1,275,661 $ 3,033,857 $ 3,328,846
      Marketing,
       selling and
       administrative
       expenses                196,594      191,115     576,344     592,604
                               -------      -------     -------     -------
      Gross Cruise Costs     1,312,680    1,466,776   3,610,201   3,921,450
                             =========    =========   =========   =========
      Less:
        Commissions,
         transportation
         and other             303,969      375,638     772,350     918,313
        Onboard and
         other                 152,579      168,145     348,336     363,980
                               -------      -------     -------     -------
      Net Cruise Costs      $  856,132  $   922,993 $ 2,489,515 $ 2,639,157
                              ========     ========  ==========  ==========

      APCD                   7,157,608    6,945,217  20,486,192  19,640,167
      Gross Cruise
       Costs per APCD       $   183.40  $    211.19 $    176.23 $    199.66
      Net Cruise Costs
       per APCD             $   119.61  $    132.90 $    121.52 $    134.38


       Net Debt-to-Capital was calculated as follows (in thousands):
                                          As of
                           September 30,        December 31,
                           -------------        ------------
                               2009                2008
                               ----                ----
      Long-term debt,
       net of current
       portion             $ 6,628,442         $ 6,539,510
      Current portion
       of long-term
       debt                    667,608             471,893
                               -------             -------
      Total debt             7,296,050           7,011,403
      Less: Cash and
       cash equivalents        285,863             402,878
                               -------             -------
      Net Debt             $ 7,010,187         $ 6,608,525
                            ==========          ==========

      Total
       shareholders'
       equity               $7,443,746          $6,803,012
      Total debt             7,296,050           7,011,403
                             ---------           ---------
      Total debt and
       shareholders'
       equity               14,739,796          13,814,415
                            ==========          ==========
      Debt-to-Capital             49.5%               50.8%
      Net Debt               7,010,187           6,608,525
                             ---------           ---------
      Net Debt and
       shareholders'
       equity              $14,453,933         $13,411,537
                           ===========         ===========
      Net Debt-to-
       Capital                    48.5%               49.3%



SOURCE Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.


Copyright © 2008 PR Newswire. All rights reserved.

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