LAS VEGAS, NV -- 11/09/09 --
Although economists may be reporting an end
to the recession, the news has not reached restaurant customers, according
to a new survey released today by AlixPartners LLP, the global business
advisory firm. Following a study released in March 2009, AlixPartners
recently surveyed 1,000 consumers about their current dining habits and
expectations for future spending in this sector. The study, released
today at the 2009 Restaurant Finance & Development Conference, found that
while most consumers expected they will eat out as frequently in the coming
year as they have in the past 12 months, the amount they expect to spend --
an average of $11.49 per meal -- was almost 20% less than the average
spending per meal reported in the study released earlier this year.
The results showed that while Americans do not want -- or do not have time
-- to cook for themselves, they are not looking for luxury dining out.
While the percentage of people dining out at least weekly rose to 63%, up
from 52% in AlixPartners' March survey, the average number of monthly
visits to Fine Dining establishments dropped by 36%.
"While food quality today remains top of mind for the consumer, the core
driver for diners continues to be value, value, value," said Andy
Eversbusch, a managing director at AlixPartners and head of the firm's Food
Service Practice. "That determines how often people eat out, and where
they eat out. Further, this survey suggests that while the industry
continues to rely heavily on special discounts to drive traffic, it remains
unclear whether this strategy will provide a sustained positive impact."
"Customers have been trained to take specials for granted," said Adam
Werner, a director in the Food Service Practice at AlixPartners, and one of
the authors of the study. "They have recalibrated their spending
expectations based on the now-ubiquitous $5 sandwich and the $10 meal, and
restaurants that aren't marching in the promotions parade risk being left
behind."
According to Adam Fless, also an AlixPartners director and study co-author,
"From these findings and our own experience in the field, we are seeing that
restaurants are going to need to do a very delicate balancing act for the
foreseeable future, requiring a long-range alignment of kitchen costs and
dining experience. If they are not able to re-engineer their menus to
offer exceptional value, they will continue to struggle. And if they are
not able to manage their execution in a way that keeps their margins
healthy, survival will be a challenge."
Fless also warned that attempts to arrive at quick fixes either by cutting
margins to unsustainable levels, or by sacrificing food quality, often
backfire. "A talented chef can make good food, and an owner can cut
costs," he said. "But only restaurateurs who can do both in a sustainable
way, will have a secure future."
The survey asked a representative sample of adults age 18 and above about
their current and planned frequency and expenditure on dining out, as well
as their preferred type of restaurant and key criteria in restaurant
selection. The results include breakdowns by gender, region and income
level. Other findings include:
-- 63% dined out at least weekly over the last twelve months, 11% more
than in AlixPartners' Q1 survey. In spite of the increased visits, same
store revenue continues to remain flat or declining. Fine Dining suffered
the biggest reported drop in overall visits per month over last year.
-- Value is still most often cited by consumers as the reason to try new
restaurants; promotions are far more important than previous survey,
however their overall positive effects on revenue remain unclear.
-- Consumer preference continues to be driven not only by price, but by
overall food quality which was again cited as the most important factor in
selecting a restaurant.
-- Going forward, consumers plan to spend less in the next 12 months than
they do currently.
-- Expected average spend in the next 12 months is projected to drop 3%
as consumers shift more to meals under $5.
-- The study also found significant differences between the respondents
along the lines of gender, annual income and geographic region.
About AlixPartners
AlixPartners is a global business advisory firm offering comprehensive
services to improve corporate performance, execute corporate turnarounds,
and provide litigation consulting and forensic accounting services. The
firm's specialty is urgent, high-impact situations when results really
matter. The firm has more than 900 professionals in 14 offices across
North America, Europe and Asia, and is on the Web at www.alixpartners.com.
Media Contacts:
Meir Kahtan
(Meir Kahtan Public Relations)
+1.212.575.8188
Email Contact
Tim Yost
(AlixPartners)
+1.248.204.8689