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ANALYSIS: Who framed Tony Blair?

Brussels - Despite pleas to focus on policies rather than names, much of the talk among European Union leaders in Brussels this week was about whether Tony Blair should become their first ever president. Britain's charismatic former premier had enter...
Posted : Fri, 30 Oct 2009 12:22:38 GMT
By : dpa
Category : Europe (World)
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Brussels - Despite pleas to focus on policies rather than names, much of the talk among European Union leaders in Brussels this week was about whether Tony Blair should become their first ever president. Britain's charismatic former premier had entered the race as a frontrunner. But his decision to back George W Bush's controversial war in Iraq while he was in office, and his failure to win over friends among fellow left-wing leaders, ultimately proved fatal.

"We have a common position concerning Mr Blair: we don't consider him a member of the socialist family," is how Ramon Jauregui, a socialist politician from Spain put it Thursday.

It could be argued that the absence from the summit of one of his most powerful allies, Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, who was recovering from scarlet fever in Italy, did not help.

But there are more profound reasons for believing that the future president of the European Council will not be a global star from Edinburgh.

According to Piotr Kaczynski, an analyst at the Centre for European Policy Studies, a Brussels think tank, Blair's celebrity status was seen as posing too big a threat to some of Europe's inflated egos.

"For big figures in Europe, like French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, it would be very difficult to accept someone who is above them. They need a president who is fully controllable and predictable," Kaczynski told the German Press Agency dpa.

Blair's celebrity status also jarred with the EU's smaller member states, who feared being sidelined during global talks, and Spain, which is set to take over the existing system of rotating presidencies from Sweden on January 1st.

It is perhaps no coincidence that Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriquez Zapatero was among the first to implicitly write off Blair by stating: "We need a convinced European."

And therein lay Blair's other main weakness. With Britain refusing to participate in two of the EU's biggest success stories - a single currency and the borderless Schengen area - most EU leaders simply don't consider it a full member of their club.

Some pundits suspect that Blair may never have wanted the job anyway.

According to British daily The Times, the former premier would only be prepared to give up his lucrative commercial interests for a job that would allow him to "make a difference" for Europe.

And it is as yet unclear whether a President of the European Council, a post created by the EU's reforming Lisbon Treaty, will command enough power to impact on the world scene.

According to Hugo Brady, an analyst at the London-based Centre for European Reform, the job description is in fact more akin to a UN-style secretary general than a president.

"Normally, you have political power if you are elected, or if you have a democratic mandate. But the future president will have neither. We are talking about the EU equivalent of Kofi Annan," Brady said.

Sarkozy had initially touted Blair for the job, but later backtracked.

One of his advisors was now arguing that the future president should be both a mediator and an immediately recognizable face worldwide.

"The perfect choice would be a rare species, capable of taking on both roles," the advisor said.

If Poles were consulted, they would pick Merkel.

According to a poll published in Friday's daily Rzeczpospolita, support for the German chancellor was at 28 per cent in Poland. At 17 per cent, Blair came a distant second in the poll.

Since Merkel won't be giving up her present job any time soon, the rumour mill was now focussing its attention on alternative candidates.

According to the Dutch public broadcaster NOS, Dutch Christian Democrats were getting ready for the possibility that their party leader and current prime minister, Jan Peter Balkenende, might be leaving national politics to become EU president.

Seen as a strong compromise candidate, Balkenende enjoys the support of a number of smaller member states, but also of Europe's conservative members of the European Parliament.

Another candidate is Vaira Vike-Freiberga. The former Latvian president has an international outlook, having been raised in Canada, and has the advantage of being a woman.

The president of the European Commission and of the European Parliament have both called for more women to be appointed to the bloc's top jobs.

Copyright DPA

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Blair EU President
By: James , Thu, 19 Nov 2009 19:56:45 GMT

Thank goodness it is not Blair. He has demonstrated by his move to the USA that he is not committed to Europe. He is only committed to chasing the $. If he somehow landed the big job in Europe, how soon Mandleson would join him, another unpopular politician, well, Lord. History is going to be very unkind to these two, I suspect Kinnock will also be villified in the history books.


Tony Blair must lock his doors as a hoax politician
By: Abdel Hameed m.Sadiq , Sat, 31 Oct 2009 05:01:23 GMT

EU is in dire need for independent great men who can lead EU to a full bloom future,not leaders who are just wagging their political tails for US dominance,and meddling in shaping EU future.Let's exclude Tony Blair to salvage EU from thundering US noise that made EU fable,paralysed,and in dire need for fresh charismatic and prestigious identity.


Good news
By: Gaston , Fri, 30 Oct 2009 14:38:08 GMT

Regarding the rejection of Tony Blair as President of the European Council, many thanks to the EU for having finally come to their senses.



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