Energy | Nature

One-metre sea-level rise this century, scientists say

Berlin - Global warming calculations have been too optimistic, and the sea level round the globe is likely to rise a full metre this century, two senior German scientists warned Wednesday. Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, who heads the Potsdam Institute fo...
Posted : Thu, 09 Oct 2008 10:15:39 GMT
By : DPA
Category : Environment
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Berlin - Global warming calculations have been too optimistic, and the sea level round the globe is likely to rise a full metre this century, two senior German scientists warned Wednesday. Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, who heads the Potsdam Institute for Research on Global Warming Effects and Jochem Marotzke, a leading meteorologist, said UN-backed data on climate change, predicting a rise of 18 to 59 centimetres, was out of date.

"We now have to expect that the sea level will rise by a metre this century," said Schellnhuber in Berlin.

He said international plans to limit the rise in average global temperatures to just 2 degrees Celsius by the end of the century, mainly by limiting growth in carbon dioxide emissions, were only achievable with enormous effort.

Schnellnhuber, who is official adviser to German Chancellor Angela Merkel on climate-change issues, said the new findings employed data unavailable to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for its most recent global warming report.

The two experts said the IPCC report had been based on data up to 2005 only, but since then ice loss in the Arctic had doubled or tripled.

Schnellhuber charged that 20 per cent of the loss of the ice sheet on Greenland could be directly linked to the added carbon dioxide emissions from new Chinese coal-fired power stations.

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One metre sea level rise this century?
By: Tom Moriarty , Fri, 10 Oct 2008 15:01:26 GMT

Another German scientist, Stefan Rahmstorf, made equally rediculous predictions in 2007 in his Science paper titled "A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise.” This paper had three several glaring flaws:

1) Sea level rise rate vs. temperature is displayed in a way that erroneously implies that it is well fit to a line. More…

2) The assumption that the time required to arrive at the new equilibrium is “on the order or millennia” is not borne out by the data. In fact, the data indicates that the equalibrium time is more like decades. More…

3)Rahmstorf extrapolates out more than five times the measured temperature domain. More…

best regards,
Tom



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