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U.S. incomes seen up in Feb, core prices tame

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. incomes probably continued to grow at a moderate pace in February, according to a Reuters poll, while underlying inflation pressures are likely to have eased.
Posted : Fri, 28 Mar 2008 07:35:02 GMT
Author : Reuters
Category : US (Business)
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NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. incomes probably continued to grow at a moderate pace in February, according to a Reuters poll, while underlying inflation pressures are likely to have eased.

Personal income, including wages, salaries and income from such sources as rent, is projected to have grown at a 0.3 percent annual rate in February, the same as in January, based on the median forecast of 70 economists polled by Reuters.

Personal consumption is likely to have risen just 0.1 percent following a 0.4 percent increase in January.

The widely watched gauge of inflation pressures, the core personal consumption expenditure price index, or PCE, is expected to have risen just 0.1 percent.

The core PCE strips out often-volatile food and energy costs.

The report is due on Friday at 8:30 a.m.

The following is a selection of comments from economists:

UBS

Forecasts:

Personal Income +0.2 pct

Personal cons +0.2 pct

Core PCE Prices +0.2 pct

"Both income and spending were likely close to flat in real terms again in February, consistent with a significant slowing in labor market income and sharp decline in consumer confidence in recent months."

BNP PARIBAS

Forecasts:

Personal Income +0.1 pct

Personal cons -0.1 pct

Core PCE +0.1 pct

"Personal income is forecast to rise by 0.1 percent in February, its slowest rate of growth since April 2007. Weakness in wages and salaries is due to the declines in the labor force and the job losses in well paid goods-producing industries such as construction and manufacturing."

MERRILL LYNCH

Forecasts:

Personal Income +0.2 pct

Personal Spending +0.1 pct

Core PCE y/y +2.0 pct

"Data from the latest CPI report suggests that the core PCE price index (excluding food and energy) will come in flat month-on-month for February, after a 0.3 percent pop last month. This would take the year-on-year to 2.0 percent from 2.2 percent, and back within the Fed's 'comfort zone.' The main difference between the CPI and PCE report is the medical care services component, as it carries more than twice as much weight in the latter."

(Polling by Bangalore Polling Unit)

(Reporting by Burton Frierson; editing by Leslie Adler)


(c) Reuters 2008. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters. Reuters and the Reuters sphere logo are registered trademarks and trademarks of the Reuters group of companies around the world.



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