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YEARENDER: Turkey looking inwards after EU cold shoulder

Posted : Thu, 20 Dec 2007 05:10:02 GMT
By : DPA
Category : Europe (World)
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Ankara - A constitutional crisis, parliamentary and presidential elections, and a flare-up in fighting in southeast Turkey took centre stage in Turkish politics in 2007. All this overshadowed what has in recent years been the country's main foreign policy objective - membership of the European Union.

Turkey's potential membership of the EU remains a controversial issue in Europe. French President Nicolas Sarkozy in particular has made it very clear that he does not want Turkey to join the union. Public surveys across the EU show what is called "enlargement fatigue."

Progress towards membership has been slow. Following last year's decision by the EU to suspend membership talks in eight out of 35 negotiating areas due to Turkey's refusal to open its ports to EU member Cyprus, only four negotiating chapters have been opened.

The EU Commission has been very critical of Turkey's failure to implement reforms. In its progress report issued in November, the commission noted that only limited progress had been made by Turkey and that significant further efforts are needed to guarantee freedom of expression, limit the military's influence on politics and to ensure minority rights.

In particular the EU has been critical of the failure of the government to abolish the infamous Article 301 of the Turkish criminal code which makes it a crime to "insult Turkishness", a law that has been used to prosecute writers and journalists.

In past years such criticism may well have sparked Turkey into action. In order to gain official membership status in 2005 the Turkish parliament made vast changes to Turkish law, abolishing the death penalty and increasing the rights of minorities, but with increasing hostility within Europe to Turkish membership of the union, the government in Ankara is under little pressure from its own public to bow to EU demands.

According to a German Marshall Fund of the United States study, the Turkish public has gone cold on the whole EU project. Turkish "warmth" towards the EU fell from 52 degrees in 2004 and 45 in 2006 to 26 in 2007.

"We have lost our so-called 'soft power' over Turkey", an EU diplomat told Deutsche Presse Agentur dpa. "They aren't listening any more."

Instead of looking to the EU, Turkey in 2007 focused inwards.

More than a million people took to the streets in April and May to protest the prospect of the ruling Islamic-rooted Justice and Development Party (AKP) electing their man, Abdullah Gul, to the presidency. Secularists feared that Gul, a founding member of the AKP, in the presidential palace would cement the AKP's hold on power in Turkey and could lead to the watering down of secular laws.

The staunchly-secularist military weighed in also with army chief Yasar Buyukyanit declaring that Turkey needed a true secularist as president, not a secularist in name only.

Seemingly bending to secularist pressure the Constitutional Court ruled the presidential election process invalid in a decision that Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan described a "bullet at democracy."

In response to the court's ruling Erdogan called early elections in June which his AKP duly won. After gaining support from smaller opposition parties Gul was elected president in August.

With elections out of the way the government moved onto what many Turks consider to be the country's biggest problem, Kurdish separatism.

After a lull in fighting over recent years rebels from the Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) in 2007 stepped up attacks on military targets in south-east Turkey. More than a hundred soldiers were killed in attacks over the summer and protesters again filled the streets accusing the government of being soft on terrorism.

Earlier in the year Buyukyanit told reporters that it was clear that an incursion into northern Iraq was necessary to wipe out PKK bases and with the elections out of the way the government moved.

As the military deployed as many as 100,000 troops on the border, parliament voted to give authority for the government to launch a large-scale incursion.

Fearing that a Turkish incursion could destabilize northern Iraq, one of the few relatively calm regions in the war-torn country, the United States urged caution. While Erdogan last month said all was in place for an attack on PKK bases in Iraq, no operation has yet taken place.

Turkey enters 2008 with the PKK question still unanswered. Erdogan has hinted at a limited amnesty to try and convince PKK rebels to surrender but says that the military option is still available. Extreme suspicion still exists between the military and the government but on the issue of the PKK they appear together.

The PKK attacks, combined with a growing feeling that the EU does not want Turkey to become a member, have fuelled nationalism in 2007. As support for the EU, the United States and for liberalizing reforms drops, Turkey goes into 2008 looking inwards.

Copyright DPA

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Turkey looking inwards after EU cold shoulder
By: Christos Eleftheriou , Fri, 21 Dec 2007 20:45:01 GMT

When advocating Turkish claims to EU membership, people tend to forget that EU is not a NATO-style Coalition but a government that requires equivalent standards of political, legal (Rule of law) and economic development from members.
Ankara therefore must not be deluted into believing that EU's arm regarding Turkey can be twisted, as this will remove any incentive for reform that could eventually make Turkish membership realistic.


Turkey Looking Inwards
By: Altan Houssein , Fri, 21 Dec 2007 08:22:31 GMT

Frankly it does not surprise me that this should be the case. Most Europeans that I speak to - particularly Brits - would rather be out of the EU. Most European countries look to the east for trade including of transfer of manufacturing due to low labour costs. Turkey should be forming a strong union with all of its Turkic brethren such as Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kirgistan etc., where they share similar languages and the growing potential of vast energy reserves. Most of this energy is now being piped to the west and as far as China in the east. There are huge development projects in these countries to sustain them for many years to follow. What the EU must understand is that Turkey shares some of its borders with difficult countries such as Iran and Iraq and with the PKK problems the Turkish military can not enjoy the comfort of most EU armies. Uprising by the public in their millions during 2007 has also demonstrated their frustration with the new government which appears to be swinging away from the secular values and Kemalist ideals which the powerful army is the rightful institution to not only voice its concerns but to protect these values in the interests of the Turkish nation. The EU would be honest in halting all further negotiations with Turkey instead of putting unnecessary obstacles in its path including Cyprus. The EU clearly displayed its double standards by taking the Greek Cypriot administration in and leaving the Turkish Cypriots out in the cold after the Turkish Cypriots overwhelmingly voted "yes" to a UN brokered settlement under the "Annan Plan". All this after the Greek Cypriot administration promised the EU that they too would vote "yes". I rest my case!



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