| Shortly
after he was arrested for orchestrating the assassination
of a supreme court justice late last year, Hutomo
(Tommy) Soeharto, son of the former Indonesian
strongman, filed suit against two aides of former
President Abdurrahman Wahid.
Tommy
wasn't claiming false arrest. He wasn't suing for
defamation of character. He just wanted his money
back.
The 36-year-old heir to the multi-billion-dollar
Soeharto fortune claimed he had given the middlemen
a $2 million bribe that was meant to buy a
Wahid pardon for an earlier conviction in connection
with a real-estate swindle.
Since the pardon was rejected, Tommy argued,
it was only fair that he get his bribe back.
Besides, after the assassination of one of
their own, the other supreme court justices
had overturned the conviction anyway, even
though Tommy was a fugitive at the time.
Welcome to Indonesia in the post-Soeharto
era, a nation deep in the throes of political,
economic and social transition punctuated by
contradictions at every turn. On one level,
the saga of Tommy Soeharto is a vivid example
of business-as-usual in one of the world's
more corrupt societies. On another level, though,
it masks the fact that Indonesian society has
changed in very fundamental ways.
For the architects of America's war on terror,
the ability to penetrate the appearances and
realities of the world's largest Muslim country
will have a critical impact on the battle in
the years ahead. In many respects, it would
have been much easier for post-Sept. 11 US
foreign policy if Soeharto had never been overthrown.
The former general used a strong hand to hold
together his necklace nation of 17,000 islands
and 300 language groups. Any hint of rebellion
in the provinces met with a violent response,
as the agony of East Timor painfully demonstrated.
Political opposition was bought off or silenced.
Islamic sentiment was funneled into tame social
movements. Clerics who raised the forbidden
subject of Islamic rule were jailed or exiled.
Today, Indonesia is an ethnic quilt held together
with fraying thread. Provinces at either end
of the vast archipelago are in revolt, officials
in oil rich Aceh have established religious
police to enforce an Islamic dress code, Muslim-Christian
clashes have claimed some 10,000 lives, and
the country has had four presidents in as many
years.
There have been rumors of Taliban and al Qaeda
involvement in the anti Christian jihad; several
Indonesian clerics and their followers have
been implicated in regional terrorist plots;
a shadowy group called the Islamic Defenders
Front has threatened foreigners who hold the
key to reviving the devastated economy ; and
at least one suspected Indonesian militant
has been directly tied to both the Sept. 11
hijackers and the bombing of the USS Cole in
Yemen.
Against that
backdrop, it would be easy for American architects
of the war on terror to
convince themselves that Indonesia's interests
coincide with those of the US. History would
seem to bolster their argument. President Megawati
Sukarnoputri's own father, the nationalist
Sukarno, fought to contain radical Islam, a
job completed by the man who ousted him, Soeharto.
Surely the woman leader of the world's largest
Muslim country would do everything possible
to prevent al Qaeda from fostering a fundamentalist
resurgence that would oppose her very existence
in office. Megawati seemed to confirm that
when she stood beside President George W. Bush
in the aftermath of Sept. 11 and signaled her
country's support in the war on terrorism.
But behind that façade is another reality:
To overtly confront the forces that could threaten
her is to strengthen the forces that do threaten
her.
Within days
of returning home, Megawati was adjusting
her message to Washington in the
face of criticism from figures like her own
vice president, Hamzah Haz of the Muslim-oriented
United Development Party, who said the bombing
of the World Trade Center would "cleanse
the sins" of the US. "Prolonged military
action is not only counterproductive but also
can weaken the global coalition's joint effort
to combat terrorism," Megawati said in
a speech before parliament.
Westerners looking at Indonesia today are
likely to see a young democracy, a free press,
billboards for Citibank, and to assume shared
values. But the fact is that a few Western
trappings have been hung on what remains a
very Indonesian mannequin.
Indonesia has
always been a culture in which most things
are best left unsaid. Confrontation
is anathema. The word "no" is rarely
used. "Bapak," the father figure
in business, the family or the nation, is always
right.
Jakarta hotels in the late 1980s and early
1990s were jammed with Western businesspeople
whose would-be Indonesian partners nodded sagely
at their proposals and promised to get back
to them. Few ever did.
But globetrotting
salesmen aren't the only foreign visitors
to Indonesia who have been
tripped up by a culture in which appearances
are far more important than reality. "Things
were going fine until he saw that picture," a
source in the Indonesian presidential palace
told me in early 1998. "Then his attitude
changed completely."
"That picture" was a photo showing
IMF Managing Director Michel Camdessus standing
billion bailout package. In the stylized culture
of Java, in which respect for the ruler is
paramount and body language speaks as loudly
as words, crossing one's arms is, at best,
a sign of arrogance and, at worst, a conscious
insult. Even to a Western eye, the picture
begged for the caption: "Soeharto signs
articles of surrender."
"If only Camdessus had knownS" IMF
officials said when the media firestorm broke.
Indeed. But the damage was already done.
The moment
Soeharto saw the photo, according to the
source, the deal was dead. Within days
the Indonesia president was backpedaling. Within
weeks the flag of nationalism had been waved.
The photo gave him an excuse every Indonesian
understood. "We are talking about dignity," said
a senior government official of the incident. "We
are talking sovereignty. We want help, but
at what cost?"
Four years
later, that sentiment was echoed again as
Indonesian officials reacted to criticism
from Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew, who charged
that Jakarta was dragging its feet in the war
on terror. Foreign Minister Hasan Wirayuda
called the comments "provocative" Lee
also called Abu Bakar Ba'asyir Muslim cleric
who had spent four years in jail under Soeharto
terrorist ringleader. Ba'asyir filed a slander
suit in a Jakarta court, and some politicians
said Lee had done their country a service by
sparking a new wave of Indonesian nationalism.
Indonesian
security officials, meanwhile, maintained
that Lee's criticism was unfounded. "We
can't publish it yet, [but] Indonesia has been
effectively working to combat terrorism," insisted
Chief Security Minister Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.
But such assurances were undermined by the
country's lack of credibility, the natural
legacy of a business and political culture
in which decisions are routinely made behind
closed doors.
That culture
of secrecy word no idea when I was here [last
year] that there was $65 billion,
or whatever the number is, of unhedged dollar
borrowings, and I don't think the Indonesians
knew," World Bank President James Wolfensohn
admitted in early 1998.
The traditional
Javanese shadow puppet
play, in which the characters act out the story
behind an opaque screen, is an overused but
apt analogy for the veil of secrecy behind
which business and government have long operated
in Indonesia. Decisions are handed down without
discussion or debate. Inside deals are common
currency. For many years, that shadow play
complicates America's conduct of the terror
war in Southeast Asia extremely convenient
for the US government and, in particular, American
business. Long before the dot-coms, long before
Enron, it was on the bourses of Jakarta and
a dozen other emerging markets that Wall Street
perfected its ability to look the other way.
Underwriters like Merrill Lynch and Morgan
Stanley could make millions orchestrating public
offerings for feudal conglomerates, without
causing the loss of face involved in demanding
real financial transparency. Western brokers
could promise clients staggering returns on
the Jakarta Stock Exchange without embarrassing
Indonesian counterparts by mentioning rampant
insider trading.
As long as no one asked too many questions,
as long as everyone agreed appearance was reality,
there were plenty of windfall profits to go
around. But when the Asian bubble burst, and
members of the newly created middle class suddenly
found themselves without jobs, they began shouting
that the emperor had no clothes; the Ponzi
scheme came crashing down.
The child of that revolution is a nascent
democracy grafted onto a culture of secrecy,
illusion and contradiction.
When FBI Director Robert Mueller arrived in
Indonesia in late March to discuss the war
on terrorism, he must have felt as if he had
stepped through Alice's looking glass.
The FBI director spent two days quietly meeting
with the country's security minister, national
police chief and the head of the national intelligence
agency (in the safety of the Hindu-dominated
island of Bali, far from potential Muslim demonstrators)
as part of a regional tour to coordinate strategy
in the war on terror.
As the meetings
ended, the two sides issued all the usual
public expressions of cooperation,
but the Indonesians added one caveat: "We
have explained that Indonesia is committed
to fighting international terrorism," said
Security Minister Susilo, "but with different
methods."
The irony of Indonesia's emergence as an important
front in the terror war is that today it stands
as a model for the rise of a moderate brand
of political Islam that gives voice to Muslim
aspirations as part of, rather than in opposition
to, the political process.
The foot soldiers
of the anti-Soeharto revolt may have come
from the universities. The coup
de grâce may have been inflicted by the
army's top general, but the field marshals
of the revolution were men like Amien Rais
and Abdurrahman Wahid, who flexed the newfound
political muscles of the mass Muslim movements
they headed. Soeharto's former vice president
and successor, B.J. Habibie, further strengthened
the political power of Muslim groups by cultivating
them in a failed attempt to win legitimacy.
It was his position as head of the Nahdlatul
Ulama (NU), or Religious Scholars organization
propelled Wahid to the presidency.
Just as Nasser's
Egypt did for young Arab intellectuals in
the 1950s, Indonesia offers
a model that gives vent to Muslim political
aspirations that might otherwise surface as
Islamic militancy. But where Nasser's one-man
rule meant that mass participation was severely
circumscribed, Indonesia's political free-for-all
parties One example of how the structures of
Islam are being used as a political base can
be found in the emergence of Partai Keadilan,
or Justice Party, popularly known by its Indonesian
initials PK. Formed in July 1998, the PK seeks
to add an Islamic spiritual dimension to political
activism, but officially states that it is
up to the individual to interpret the religious
teachings of Islam. Party cadres are recruited
primarily through local mosques, where students
as young as 12 are organized into Koran reading
and discussion groups and then, after a year
of participation, encouraged to form groups
of their own. Through this tiered system, the
party is building a long-term strategy by tapping
youth often ignored by other political groups
in a culture where age is revered. The stated
goal is "to use power to serve others," not
to implement Islamic law.
"We want the party to become a pioneer
in upholding Islamic values and we want to
do that within the framework of democracy,
national unity and integrity," party chairman
Hidayat Nur Wahid recently told an interviewer. "Even
if you are Muslim, if you are unjust and oppress
non-Muslims, you should be punished. This is
how we view shariah (Islamic law)."
But it was just such a network of mosques
and Islamic schools in Saudi Arabia, Yemen
and Pakistan that funneled recruits to al Qaeda.
Indonesia's homegrown terrorists seem to share
similar roots.
With its PK's seven seats in parliament, success
to date underlines both the value of such Islamic
political organizations stated mission within
them, draw on those infrastructures to plot
a more violent course. And given that the PK
was founded as an extension of the Arab grandfather
of Muslim resistance organizations, the Muslim
Brotherhood, such a possibility cannot be ignored.
For Jakarta in 2002 bears one other similarity
to Cairo in the 1950s: the threat from a cross-border
movement seeking to create a pan Islamic nation.
Just as the Muslim Brotherhood sought to overthrow
regimes across the Middle East and replace
them with a single Islamic nation, so the militants
of Jemaah Islamiyah seek to establish an Islamic
state incorporating Indonesia, Malaysia and
portions of the Philippines.
The goal of preventing that is shared by officials
in Washington and Jakarta. But that does not
mean they necessarily agree on tactics. A recent
Gallup poll of sentiment in the Islamic world
revealed that only 27 percent of Indonesians
viewed the United States favorably, 89 percent
said the US military action in Afghanistan
was unjustified, and 74 percent said they did
not believe Arabs carried out the Sept. 11
attacks.
Given those numbers, any government would
hesitate to side overtly with the United States.
That is doubly true of a president in a shaky
coalition government that depends on several
Muslim parties for its survival, including
a vice president who once opposed the very
idea of a woman in the country's highest office.
Further complicating the situation is a historic
love-hate relationship between Indonesia and
the United States, viewed through a prism of
nationalism, culture and religion country's
leaders for their own ends. Suspicion of the
West particular A tendency toward conspiracy
theories runs deep in Indonesian society, illustrated
by the widespread belief that the devaluation
of the rupiah in the early 1990s was the result
of a conspiracy between financier George Soros
and the country's ethnic Chinese. Many Indonesians
believe the West wants to break up the country
or otherwise prevent it from becoming a regional
power.
American criticism of Indonesia's human rights
record is widely seen as hypocritical in light
of a US foreign policy that is perceived as
exploitative and biased, particularly when
it comes to Israel and the Palestinians, a
subject that sparks anger at every level of
society.
While there exists a voracious appetite here
for things Western Coke cultural backlash that
fueled Osama bin Laden's rise, reflected in
a spate of attacks on bars earlier this year
and the increased popularity of Islamic attire,
even among the upper classes.
Moderate Muslim leaders almost as much to
lose as Megawati from the rise of fundamentalism.
If such a scenario ever showed signs of manifesting
as reality, it is likely that all the power
centers would close ranks against the threat.
In the meantime, though, Muslim politicians
will seize every opportunity to exploit public
suspicions of the United States as a powerful
weapon in their maneuvering toward the 2004
presidential elections.
"Everything that gives the impression
that Indonesia is serving the American interest
in its drive to fight terrorism will be opposed
by the [House of Representatives], the press
and the public," Lt. Gen. (ret.) Zen A.
Maulani, a former intelligence chief, recently
told an interviewer. "This means that
they will also oppose Megawati if she allows
this impression to gain credence."
As always in
Indonesia, it is the "impression" issue.
Most Indonesian Muslims are willing to look
the other way as extremist elements are neutralized,
but they don't want to be seen doing so. Indonesians
are proud of their role as the world's largest
Muslim society. They are not prepared to puncture
the illusion of Islamic solidarity. To expose
the reality of their quiet support for the
neutralization of extremists is to cause a
loss of face across the breadth of Indonesian
society. Such miscalculations by American policy
planners tactics by the terror warriors anti-terror
effort and potentially creating precisely the
kind of instability upon which radical Islam
breeds.
Which is why Indonesia's culture of appearances
could yet prove a valuable tool in the terror
war. The key is whether American terror warriors
can simultaneously understand, deftly utilize
and judiciously penetrate the shadow play.
Seated beside a smiling Megawati Sukarnoputri
just eight days after Sept. 11, President Bush
indelicately stripped the Indonesian president
of her veil of deniability as surely as if
he had yanked off the Islamic head cover she
sometimes wears.
"Some nations will be comfortable supporting
covert activities, some nations will only be
comfortable with providing information," Bush
told reporters. "Others will be helpful
and will only be comfortable supporting financial
matters. I understand that."
Whatever the
US president intended, the appearance sent
much the same message as the crossed arms
of the IMF's Camdessus as he loomed over Soeharto
back in 1998. Bush might as well have said, "She's
going to do our bidding but deny it."
Bush's wartime presidency thrives on bold
headlines spotlighting dramatic action. In
Indonesia, all the news is not necessarily
fit to print. Nor does much appear in neat
black and white. Some elements of the Indonesian
security services cleric, for four years under
Soeharto go-slow directive, but they are no
strangers to operating in the shadows. Even
as they were being criticized for their failure
to arrest Ba'asyir move that would have set
off a political firestorm picked up another
suspected terrorist and deported him to Egypt,
where that country's intelligence service and
the Americans were waiting with open arms.
It was a reminder that while the terror war
may be played out with B-52s in Afghanistan,
special-forces troops in the Philippines and
an overt political crackdown in Yemen, to succeed
in Indonesia it must abide by local rules.
A shadow war gives a weak government deniability,
the security apparatus flexibility, and the
moderate Muslim majority the chance to pretend
that appearance is reality.
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